Tag Archives: Valerie Jarrett & Her Mischief Making: Capable of Upending Western Civilization…The Unofficial Buck Starts/Stops At Her Door

VALERIE JARRETT: Iran’s “Deal Maker”, Her Main Mission As Obama’s Consigliere. Western Civilization’s Hit Woman…Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

Posted on by
38

It is seemingly impossible to quantify the amount of treachery committed by Iranian born Valerie Jarrett to western civilization, try as one may. In tandem with her boss, Barack HUSSEIN Obama, they are the most DANGEROUS duo in the western world. That’s not an easy hurdle to pass.

But if not for a highly trusted contact in mid 2012, at the inception of this site, the reportage on Val would have been minimal, if at all. A heads up from an “in the know” Washington, DC associate kept dropping hints….again and again. It is important to give credit where it is due. No one is an island.

That being said, a starting point was documented, one which included Valerie Jarrett’s crimes against America and Israel in particular and the west in general.

Exhibit A: Valerie Jarrett’s Communist Leanings & Why She Matters…Serving As Barack Hussein Obama’s Alter Ego…Cementing The Red/Green Alliance

Exhibit B: Valerie Jarrett…Barack HUSSEIN Obama’s Communist/Hidden Hand…Familial & Ideological Ties That Bind

Exhibit C: Valerie Jarrett & Her Mischief Making: Capable of Upending Western Civilization…The Unofficial Buck Starts/Stops At Her Door

Exhibit D: DHS & America’s Planned Deconstruction Via Valerie Jarrett: Domestically & Foreign Policy-Wise…Addendum To: Barack Hussein Obama’s Deconstruction Plans

Exhibit E: Valerie Jarrett Reigns Supreme, Even Regarding The “Kill” – Or Not – Of Osama Bin Laden

To wit, Caroline Glick, a leading political/Mid East analyst expounds upon the above geo-political (still reverberating) explosions :

COLUMN ONE: A vastly changed Middle East –

11/21/2013

When America returns, it will likely find a changed regional landscape; nations are disintegrating, only to reintegrate in new groupings.

US President Barack Obama.

US President Barack Obama. Photo: Reuters
A week and a half ago, Syria’s Kurds announced they are setting up an autonomous region in northeastern Syria.The announcement came after the Kurds wrested control over a chain of towns from al-Qaida in the ever metastasizing Syrian civil war.The Kurds’ announcement enraged their nominal Sunni allies – including the al-Qaida forces they have been combating – in the opposition to the Assad regime. It also rendered irrelevant US efforts to reach a peace deal between the Syrian regime and the rebel forces at a peace conference in Geneva.

But more important than what the Kurds’ action means for the viability of the Obama administration’s Syria policy, it shows just how radically the strategic landscape has changed and continues to change, not just in Syria but throughout the Arab world.The revolutionary groundswell that has beset the Arab world for the past three years has brought dynamism and uncertainty to a region that has known mainly stasis and status quo for the past 500 years. For 400 years, the Middle East was ruled by the Ottoman Turks. Anticipating the breakup of the Ottoman Empire during World War I, the British and the French quickly carved up the Ottoman possessions, dividing them between themselves. What emerged from their actions were the national borders of the Arab states – and Israel – that have remained largely intact since 1922.

As Yoel Guzansky and Erez Striem from the Institute for National Security Studies wrote in a paper published this week, while the borders of Arab states remain largely unchanged, the old borders no longer reflect the reality on the ground.“As a result of the regional upheavals, tribal, sectarian, and ethnic identities have become more pronounced than ever, which may well lead to a change in the borders drawn by the colonial powers a century ago that have since been preserved by Arab autocrats.”Guzansky and Striem explained, “The iron-fisted Arab rulers were an artificial glue of sorts, holding together different, sometimes hostile sects in an attempt to form a single nation state.

Now, the de facto changes in the Middle East map could cause far-reaching geopolitical shifts affecting alliance formations and even the global energy market.”The writers specifically discussed the breakdown of national governments and the consequent growing irrelevance of national borders in Syria, Iraq, Libya and Yemen.And while it is true that the dissolution of central government authority is most acute in Syria, Iraq, Libya and Yemen, in every Arab state national authorities are under siege, stressed, or engaged in countering direct threats to their rule. Although central authorities retain control in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Morocco, Tunisia and Bahrain, they all contend with unprecedented challenges.

As a consequence, today it is impossible to take for granted that the regime’s interests in any Arab state will necessarily direct the actions of the residents of that state, or that a regime now in power will remain in power tomorrow.Guzansky and Striem note that the current state of flux presents Israel with both challenges and opportunities. As they put it, “The disintegration of states represents at least a temporary deterioration in Israel’s strategic situation because it is attended by instability liable to trickle over into neighboring states….

But the changes also mean dissolution of the regular armies that posed a threat in the past and present opportunities for Israel to build relations with different minorities with the potential to seize the reins of government in the future.”Take the Kurds for example. The empowerment of the Kurds in Syria – as in Iraq – presents a strategic opportunity for Israel. Israel has cultivated and maintained an alliance with the Kurds throughout the region for the past 45 years.Although Kurdish politics are fraught with internal clashes and power struggles, on balance, the empowerment of the Kurds at the expense of the central governments in Damascus and Baghdad is a major gain for Israel.

And the Kurds are not the only group whose altered status since the onset of the revolutionary instability in the Arab world presents Israel with new opportunities. Among the disparate factions in the disintegrating Arab lands from North Africa to the Persian Gulf are dozens of groups that will be thrilled to receive Israeli assistance and, in return, be willing to cooperate with Israel on a whole range of issues.To be sure, these new allies are not likely to share Israeli values. And many may be no more than the foreign affairs equivalent of a one-night stand.

But Israel also is not obliged to commit itself to any party for the long haul. Transactional alliances are valuable because they are based on shared interests, and they last for as long as the actors perceive those interests as shared ones.Over the past week, we have seen a similar transformation occurring on a regional and indeed global level, as the full significance of the Obama administration’s withdrawal of US power from the region becomes better understood.When word got out two weeks ago about the US decision to accept and attempt to push through a deal with Iran that would strip the international sanctions regime of meaning in return for cosmetic Iranian concessions that will not significantly impact Iran’s completion of its nuclear weapons program, attempts were made by some Israeli and many American policy-makers to make light of the significance of President Barack Obama’s moves.

But on Sunday night, Channel 10 reported that far from an opportunistic bid to capitalize on a newfound moderation in Tehran, the draft agreement was the result of months-long secret negotiations between Obama’s consigliere Valerie Jarrett and Iranian negotiators.According to the report, which was denied by the White House, Jarrett, Obama’s Iranian-born consigliere, conducted secret talks with Iranian negotiators for the past several months.

The draft agreement that betrayed US allies throughout the Arab world, and shattered Israeli and French confidence in the US’s willingness to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, was presented to negotiators in Geneva as a fait accompli. Israel and Saudi Arabia, like other US regional allies were left in the dark about its contents. As we saw, it was only after the French and the British divulged the details of the deal to Israel and Saudi Arabia that the Israelis, Saudis and French formed an ad hoc alliance to scuttle the deal at the last moment.The revelation of Jarrett’s long-standing secret talks with the Iranians showed that the Obama administration’s decision to cut a deal with the mullahs was a well-thought-out, long-term policy to use appeasement of the world’s leading sponsor of terrorism as a means to enable the US to withdraw from the Middle East. The fact that the deal in question would also pave the way for Iran to become a nuclear power, and so imperil American national security, was clearly less of a concern for Obama and his team than realizing their goal of withdrawing the US from the Middle East.Just as ethnic, regional and religious factions wasted no time filling the vacuum created in the Arab world by the disintegration of central governments, so the states of the region and the larger global community wasted no time finding new allies to replace the United States.Voicing this new understanding, Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman said Wednesday that it is time for Israel to seek out new allies.In his words, “The ties with the US are deteriorating.They have problems in North Korea, Pakistan, Iran, Syria, Egypt, China, and their own financial and immigration troubles. Thus I ask – what is our place in the international arena? Israel must seek more allies with common interests.”

In seeking to block Iran’s nuclear weapons program, Israel has no lack of allies. America’s withdrawal has caused a regional realignment in which Israel and France are replacing the US as the protectors of the Sunni Arab states of the Persian Gulf.France has ample reason to act. Iran has attacked French targets repeatedly over the past 34 years. France built Saddam Hussein’s nuclear reactor while Saddam was at war with Iran.France has 10 million Muslim citizens who attend mosques financed by Saudi Arabia.Moreover, France has strong commercial interests in the Persian Gulf. There is no doubt that France will be directly harmed if Iran becomes a nuclear power.Although Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s meeting Wednesday with Russian President Vladimir Putin did not bring about a realignment of Russian interests with the Franco- Sunni-Israeli anti-Iran consortium, the very fact that Netanyahu went to Moscow sent a clear message to the world community that in its dealings with outside powers, Israel no longer feels itself constrained by its alliance with the US.And that was really the main purpose of the visit. Netanyahu didn’t care that Putin rejected his position on Iran. Israel didn’t need Russia to block Jarrett’s deal.

Iran is no longer interested in even feigning interest in a nuclear deal. It was able to neutralize US power in the region, and cast the US’s regional allies into strategic disarray just by convincing Obama and Jarrett that a deal was in the offing. This is why Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei again threatened to annihilate Israel this week. He doesn’t think he needs to sugar coat his intentions any longer.

It is not that the US has become a nonentity in the region overnight, and despite Obama’s ill-will toward Israel, under his leadership the US has not become a wholly negative actor. The successful Israeli-US test of the David’s Sling short-range ballistic missile interceptor on Wednesday was a clear indication of the prevailing importance of Israel’s ties with the US. So, too, the delivery this week of the first of four US fast missile boats to the Egyptian navy, which will improve Egypt’s ability to secure maritime traffic in the Suez Canal, showed that the US remains a key player in the region. Congress’s unwillingness to bow to Obama’s will and weaken sanctions on Iran similarly is a positive portent for a post-Obama American return to the region.

But when America returns, it will likely find a vastly changed regional landscape. Nations are disintegrating, only to reintegrate in new groupings.

Monolithic regimes are giving way to domestic fissures and generational changes. As for America’s allies, some will welcome its return.

Others will scowl and turn away. All will have managed to survive, and even thrive in the absence of a guiding hand from Washington, and all will consequently need America less.

This changed landscape will in turn require the US to do some long, hard thinking about where its interests lie, and to develop new strategies for advancing them.

So perhaps in the fullness of time, we may all end up better off for this break in US strategic rationality.

Rest assured, if not for all of the above, the civilized world would not be facing the most frightening reality of all: the world’s most dangerous weapons in the hands of the most dangerous regime, bar none. And this is exactly what Jarrett & Obama have signed onto, in the expectation that PM Netanyahu’s hands will remain tied. Beyond traitors, reprobates and bastards. WAY beyond.

Sober thinking John Bolton coined it thusly:

The Obama administration feared an Israeli airstrike on Iran more than it feared Iran building a nuclear weapon, and that’s why it pushed for a deal to reduce sanctions against Iran, former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton writes in The Weekly Standard. 

“Buying time for its own sake makes sense in some negotiating contexts, but the sub silentio objective here was to jerry-rig yet another argument to wield against Israel and its fateful decision whether or not to strike Iran,” Bolton writes. “Obama, fearing that strike more than an Iranian nuclear weapon, clearly needed greater international pressure on Jerusalem.”

Family Security Matters also weighed in:

The canary in the diplomatic coal mine, however, is this report, that the US had been secretly negotiating since March 2013 with Iran–(a) without telling its mortally-endangered ally, Israel until two months ago (seven months into the talks); and (b) negotiating (for one of the five meetings) with Rouhani’s predecessor, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

As Dr. Rachel Ehrenfeld, from the American Center For Democracy, succinctly posited: 

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry’s handshake with the Iranian foreign minister effectively wiped off the blood from the hands of the Iranian leadership — the U.S.’s unrepentant sworn enemy — that murdered hundreds of thousands of people directly and by its worldwide terror network. Instead of punishment, Obama through his emissary Kerry, rewarded the murderers of hundreds Americans, 150-200,000 Syrians, and thousands more elsewhere with freedom and funds to build the ultimate weapon of mass destruction.  

Moreover, Kerry’s handshake with Zarif legitimized the mullahs oppressive theocracy and put an end to the hope of regime change. It ensured Iran’s development of nuclear weapons with which it will try to attack Israel, as well as the Arab nations in the Middle East.

Is this handshake not reminiscent of PM Rabin’s bloody-handed clasp with “Chairman” Arafat, on that infamous day of September 13, 1993? Think about it. Thousands of Jewish “sacrifices for peace”  – First of all you need to remember, that it is your own esteemed, delusionary elder-statesman, Israeli President Shimon Peres, who coined the infamous phrase ‘korbanot ha-shalom’ – sacrifices for peace – during the first intifada unleashed by his ‘peace-partner’, Yasser Arafat. As the Land of Israel was drowning in the bloody carnage of suicide bombings, road-side shootings and hidden explosives, he needed to justify the fallacy of his misguided vision and the deplorable kowtowing to the arch enemy – litter Israel’s graveyards and many more are maimed for life. Just ramp up to the highest order of magnitude, how many more will eventually die on the altar of the bloody handshake between Kerry and Zarif! More than a day in infamy…

NO doubt, Israel: The Most Imperiled/Targeted Nation In History. What Are Its Options, Now That Its Leaders Left Zion’s Fate To U.S. Dictates? 

As such, let the countdown to an Israeli strike begin….as mentioned by Israel’s Foreign Minster: 

Hinting at the possibility of military action, the foreign minister said “we will do what we must and will not hesitate for one minute – and there is no need to add another word.”

Forward march…kadima…צעדה קדימה !!

COUNTDOWN TO ISRAELI STRIKE? The Predicted SELL OUT Of Israel & Western Interests By Barack HUSSEIN Obama: Valerie Jarrett, His Major Conspirator…How Did This Happen? Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

Posted on by
8
NOW, let it be known for posterity: this blog anticipated Barack HUSSEIN Obama’s betrayal, to the point in which several scathing, blistering commentaries were written in the run up to his second term, WARNING American Jews (and others): Obama’s second term plans would gravely imperil Israel (never mind the disasters from his first term) and he would go for broke, endangering American interests in toto. Bingo.

But before we get to the Islamist-in-Chief’s treachery, it is only fair to take PM Netanyahu to task, even as it appears he has been operating as a lone voice in the wilderness against Iran’s genocidal regime. Don’t dare feel sorry for him or coin him a hero! Here’s why:

Throughout PM Netanyahu’s 2 terms, it became painfully obvious that he hitched Jerusalem’s decision making to suit Obama Inc.’s dictates, so much so that the following proved itself : IRAN HEADS DOWN TO THE TRIP WIRE: Month(s) Away From Bomb-Making Ability. DECISION TIME For PM Netanyahu. Obama Already Made His. So here we find ourselves, exactly in the deadly place outlined above.

NOT only that, but it was revealed herein how PM Netanyahu’s spinelessness paved the way for the genocidal mullahs – PM Netanyahu’s SPINELESS Leadership Assists Iran’s WMD (More Than Likely) Victory.

Going from there to here is not rocket science and Jerusalem’s leadership knows as much. As such, IRAN, FOR ALL INTENTS & PURPOSES, IS A NUCLEAR POWER: Obama’s LONGSTANDING Quest To Arm Iran. The Jig Is Up! What’s Obama’s End Goal? is another “prediction”.

Thereby, those of us who keep track of such global shaking matters, surely understand that the “deal” has been in the bag, long before any public announcement was made by Obama Inc. How so? Well, Obama’s hatchet woman, his alter ego, Iranian born Valerie Jarrett has been scuttling back and forth inking a deal irrespective of this and that Geneva charade. For those who doubt Jarrett’s out-sized powers, this should pierce the veil – Valerie Jarrett & Her Mischief Making: Capable of Upending Western Civilization…The Unofficial Buck Starts/Stops At Her Door. As a matter of record, her dangerous liaisons were noted over a year ago at this site.

Indeed, Barack HUSSEIN Obama Acts As A Shield For Islamic Regimes: Iranian Freedom Fighters Exposed His Hand.

Intrinsically, Tom Trento, terror hunter from Trentovision, will discuss Obama & Jarrett’s dangerous betrayal to western civilization on tomorrow’s show (Monday, Nov. 25) at 3-4 PM eastern time. Tune in here –

WNN-1470am – http://wwnnradio.com/

GET “I HEART RADIO” FOR COVERAGE WORLDWIDE

http://www.iheart.com/  (search for WNN-1470, south Florida)

The Live Internet broadcast can be watched worldwide on

www.trentovision.tv or www.theunitedwest.org or www.teapartycommunity.com

AMERICA- DO NOT BE DECEIVED

Valerie Jarrett, an Iranian born, Jew-hating, doctrinaire Socialist, orchestrated this “historic mistake” which is designed to prohibit Prime Minister Netanyahu from attacking Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. As a result of Jarrett and Obama’s appeasement to Iran the world has immediately become increasingly more dangerous with the prospect of nuclear equipped Islamic jihadis…
PEACE WITH 
IRAN!
“HEY VAL,
WE DID IT!”

“YES WE DID BARACK…AND WE REALLY SCREWED THE JEWS!”
 

NEVERTHELESS, despite the expected brouhaha that a breakthrough has brought Iran to heel, well, nothing could be further from the truth, regardless of Obama’s spin machine, operating at warp speed at The Washington Post & elsewhere – Iran, world powers reach historic nuclear deal. Besides, history is replete with such “moments”, and most infamously, the Munich Agreement comes to mind – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfCeff19Syc#t=131

The big Iranian nuclear sale

The big Iranian nuclear sale

After all-night talks, a first-step nuclear deal was struck before dawn Sunday in Geneva between Iran and the six powers. It was announced by President Barack Obama and confirmed by Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif. Obama said key aspects of Iran’s nuclear program will be rolled back for limited sanctions relief. No new centrifuges will added to the enrichment process, work will stop at the Arak nuclear reactor and the UN will expand inspections to ensure that Iran unable to make a nuclear bomb. The overall sanctions architecture will remain in place pending a comprehensive solution to be negotiated in the next s six months, but no new sanctions will be imposed.
Israel and Saudi Arabia said before the deal was signed that they would not be bound by its provisions and reserved their military options.

The US president said he understood the concerns of Israel and the Persian Gulf nations about Iran’s intentions, and promised to closely follow Iran’s compliance and as that he as commander-in-chief of US armed forces maintain the option for military action.

Offering no information about the content of the interim accord, the Iranian foreign minister commended the Geneva process for granting the Iranian people “equal footing and mutual respect” and the deal as a first step towards removing all doubts about Iran’s nuclear program.
UK Foreign Secretary William Hague added that Iran had agreed to halt uranium enrichment above the 5 percent grade and the elimination of its stockpile of 20 percent enriched material.

As the Secretary spoke, the Saudi ambassador to London pledged every effort by his government to halt Iran’s advance toward a nuclear bomb, accusing the United States of failing to do this.
DEBKAfile’s military sources add: None of the measures revealed so far about the interim accord reached in Geneva deal with the concealed military features of Iran’s nuclear program, or the details of expanded inspections. Israel is not expected to accept any document with those omissions and will no doubt continue its preparations for exercising a military option.

See DEBKAfile’s Saturday report on the fourth day of negotiatons prior to the deal.

Both sides were pumping up an atmosphere of optimism as the foreign ministers of all six powers facing Iran made tracks for Geneva Saturday morning, Nov. 23, Day Four of the marathon negotiations for an accord on a six-month freeze on Iran’s nuclear program.

Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Hassan Araghchi said the six powers had agreed to respect his country’s right to enrich uranium, so removing a major hurdle in the path of an accord, whereas Foreign Minister Javad Zarif remained silent.

Sergey Lavrov was the first foreign minister to arrive Friday night, followed by Secretary of State John Kerry early Saturday. Both were said to have come to try and narrow the gaps holding up an accord. The Chinese, British, French and German foreign ministers were due in Geneva Saturday morning, after bilateral sessions between Zarif and the other six delegates failed to produce enough progress for them to adjourn to formal negotiations around the same table, least of all reach the signing stage.

This time round, the Iranian team borrowed the Western tactic of constantly maintaining that a deal is within reach. This tactic aims at weakening the resistance of the opposite side by presenting it as dragging out the nerve-wracking talkathon beyond reason. This tactic didn’t work for the Western delegations in the first round of nuclear talks on Nov. 11, which France blew up on the fourth day. The second round had reached the same touch-and-go point by Saturday morning, when none of the six delegations confirmed they had agreed to a clause respecting Iran’s right to enrich uranium as Araghchi had claimed.
This point is pivotal to both sides because it is absent from the Non-Proliferation Treaty, which merely specifies that countries are allowed “to pursue peaceful nuclear energy.”

Rewording this provision to cover the right to uranium enrichment would cut the ground from under the entire treaty by throwing the door open for all its signatories to enrich uranium at will.

Tehran’s goal in making this demand is more than legitimacy for its own weapons program. It is also seeks to deprive the big powers of the prerogative to determine the rights of smaller nations.
On this point, therefore, both Iran and the six powers are digging in their heels.

The other major hurdle facing a deal is the Arak heavy water reactor Iran is building.  Tehran refuses to halt construction of this reactor arguing that like any other nation, Iran is entitled to build nuclear reactors for peaceful purposes. They shoot back at any suggestion that the Arak reactor is designed to produce plutonium as fuel for nuclear weapon, along with enriched uranium, with a charge of discrimination, and declare, “Tehran is not going to sign an agreement that permanently put Iran in an outcast category,”

The Iranians have adopted a negotiating strategy of relegating the vital technical aspects of the draft accord to a lower priority while hammering away at issues pertinent to national respect. Iran is fighting in Geneva for international respect as a legitimate and equal nuclear power on the world stage.
This strategy also has a by-product: By the time they get around to the key technical clauses, the negotiators on the other side of the table are too worn down to cope with a new set of Iranian objections.
The biggest obstacle to a deal, however, is to be found in Tehran in the person of the tough, autocratic Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He will have the final word on whether the second round to talks in Geneva produce an accord – not the American or Russian presidents, and certainly not the foreign ministers assembling there.

Khamenei has boosted his heft by making himself unapproachable – even to Iran’s president Hassan Rouhani.  So no one can influence him or even find out where he stands until the text is ready for signing. Even then, Zarif and Araghchi may be told at the last moment to withhold their signatures over some point and return home for further consultations. The six powers will then have to decide whether it is worth taking the negotiations to a third round, as the Congress in Washington fights back by enacting tighter sanctions against Iran.

UNDOUBTEDLY, PM Netanyahu understands that his administration misdirected half of world Jewry, who believed that under his stewardship Iran would NEVER become a nuclear power. If this blogger had a nickel, a shekel, for every time he said as much, well….even as this is written: Netanyahu: Deal lets Iran gain a nuclear bomb, Israel not bound

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu slammed the interim nuclear deal signed in Geneva early Sunday as “a historic mistake that makes the world a more dangerous place.” Israel is not obligated by this agreement,” he told the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem.  Iran is committed to Israel’s destruction, he said and “I want to make clear as the prime minister of Israel, Israel will not allow Iran to develop a military nuclear capability.” For the deal, Iran made “cosmetic concessions that it can do away with in a matter of weeks,” the prime minister said.

  

IN any case, we are where we are. He surely intuits – smartie that PM Netanyahu is – without eliciting a strike his political career will not only be over, but he will go down in history as the Jewish leader who fell short of stopping Iran from acquiring the ultimate weapons; weapons which will allow them to keep their sworn promise to wipe Israel off the map!

Mind you, Obama Inc. (and attendant world powers) didn’t pause a beat, even as Iran’s Supreme leader exhorted right before the “deal” was inked: Iranian Leader: Israel a ‘Rabid Dog’. 

It is due to the above, and so much more, that a “bolt out of the blue” will likely take place. Pray it’s not too little, too late and that the following strategic assessment comes to fruition: 

A Strike on Iran: Complex, But Possible

By  November 21, 2013

BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 223

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: An Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure is a risky and militarily-complicated endeavor, but within reach. Israeli ingenuity and determination could lead to a great operational and political success. The international responses are likely to be bearable.

Recent statements by Israel that it has the ability to strike and significantly damage Iran’s nuclear infrastructure reflect Israel’s growing exasperation with the weak reaction of the international community to the Iranian “charm offensive,” and a gradual realization that only military force can prevent the nuclearization of Iran.

Such an attack would require the capability to reach and destroy distant targets, while overcoming aerial defense systems. Yet the number of facilities that would need to be hit to deal a significant blow to Iran’s nuclear infrastructure is generally overestimated.

The essential ingredient for building a nuclear bomb is uranium enriched to at least 90 percent, meaning that the enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordow must be taken out. The heavy water reactor at Arak – designed to produce plutonium, another fissionable material suitable for building a nuclear bomb – is not yet active but is a necessary target, similar to the Iraqi reactor that was destroyed by Israel in 1981.

To be sure, an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure would be a risky and complicated military operation. But Israeli ingenuity and determination could lead to a great operational and political success.

Israel’s Military Capabilities

Israel’s long arm is its air force, which has the ability to strike distant targets. According to foreign reports, the Israel Air Force (IAF) has more than 400 fighter planes, more than most countries in the world. The IAF fleet includes the F-15I, one of the world’s most advanced planes, which can carry many precision-guided weapons over long distances.

The IAF also reportedly has a number of aerial refueling tankers that give its fighter jets the option to extend their flight range as far as Iran. The IAF has held a number of exercises, which received much media coverage, in which dozens of aircraft flew long distances, displaying the IAF’s ability to reach Iran.

The flight path to nuclear targets in Iran would cross over Arab countries, as in past long-distance IAF operations. But this time it is possible that these states would turn a blind eye or even cooperate with Israel, because the Sunni Arab world is very concerned about Iran attaining nuclear weapons.

Moreover, the IAF has a remarkable set of technological means that enable it to blind or paralyze air defense systems. Reported IAF operations in Syria and Sudan, which came to light only after the alleged strikes took place, may be an indication of such capabilities. Iran might have good air defense systems that could exact a price from the IAF, but it is unlikely that they could prevent the air force from conducting a successful attack.

An important issue is the ability to destroy underground targets. The US has provided Israel with bunker-buster bombs, and it is likely that the Israeli military industries are also capable of developing and producing similar weapons. An Israeli operation in Iran might also require a ground presence, mainly to ensure that targets hit from the air are indeed destroyed. The IDF special forces have trained for this task. Unfortunately, it would be difficult at this point to achieve a strategic surprise, and it is a shame that a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities was not executed several years ago. But despite Iran’s awareness of the possibility of an Israeli strike, there is still room for tactical surprises.

International Consequences

Iran’s ability to punish Israel is quite limited. Its missile arsenal can partially or perhaps largely be intercepted by Israel’s anti-ballistic missile system, featuring the Arrow 2 missile. Iran’s terrorist activities against Israeli targets abroad in recent years have not been very impressive. Iran’s allies on Israel’s borders, Hizballah and Hamas, have many thousands of missiles that can do much damage. But their full subservience to Iran remains to be seen. Even if they act as Iranian proxies, Israel has the military capability to invade the missile launching areas and limit the price they can exact from Israel’s home front. Finally, preventing a nuclear Iran is an important objective that justifies Israeli losses.

The expectations for serious international negative reactions to an Israeli military strike on Iran are also greatly exaggerated. Israel has attacked nuclear installations in the past, specifically in Iraq (1981) and Syria (2007), with few international repercussions. Many hypocritical denouncements are likely, accompanied by a private feeling of relief. Many countries, particularly in the region, are actually waiting for Israel to pull the nuclear chestnuts from the fire.

Conclusion

At a time when appeasing Iran seems to be in vogue, an Israeli strike could invigorate elements in the international arena who are unwilling to accept an Iran with a nuclear breakout capability. In addition, many people around the world would be reminded that muscular reactions to evil regimes are often truly necessary.

A decision by Israel to strike Iran would be a historic gamble. Nevertheless, history, necessity, and common sense point toward an attack.

For the historical record, Bolton’s analysis is spot on – Bolton: Obama Pushed Iran Deal to Prevent Israeli Airstrike…and this is the assessment from Daniel Pipes-
The Nuclear Deal With Iran is a Foreign Policy Disaster by Daniel Pipes

“For the first time in nearly a decade we have halted parts of Iran’s nuclear program” announced a jubilant Barack Obama after the news of the just-signed Geneva six-month interim agreement with Iran.

But the American goal for the accord was that the Iranians not “advance their program” of building a uranium nuclear bomb (and perhaps a plutonium bomb too); the apparent deal exactly permits such advancement, plus sanctions relief to Tehran worth about US$9 billion.

This wretched deal offers one occasion when comparison with Neville Chamberlain in Munich in 1938 is valid. An overeager Western government, blind to the evil cunning of the regime it so much wants to work with, appeases it with concessions that will come back to haunt it. Geneva and Nov. 24 will be remembered along with Munich and Sep. 29.

Barack Obama has made many foreign policy errors in the past five years, but this is the first to rank as a disaster.

Sach ha’kol, at the end of it all, a Loony Toons descriptor says it best: Obama’s Iranian “Red Line” – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ttfhSJQPDlY#t=21

That’s all folks!!