WAR DRUMS BLARING: The Commander-in-Chief Is AWOL; Russia In Charge; Iran’s Axis Ascendant; Israel Left Dangling…Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

EVER since the Islamist-in-Chief secured his second term in the People’s House, this blog has been blaring the harshest, red hot alarms across these pages, in relation to his plans for the Mid East in general, and Israel in particular. And while others – inside and outside Israel – prefer to cover their ears, close their eyes and play possum, this address will brook no such fantasy land. Reality is where it’s at.

In the starkest of terms, the following was written:

In dread of a second term, a compendium of facts was amassed to indict Obama Inc, in relation to the regime’s clear plans for Israel –  https://adinakutnicki.com/2012/11/06/obamas-second-term-plans-for-israel-if-re-elected-going-for-broke-addendum-to-stunning-video-exposing-islamist-in-chiefs-mendacity-re-israel-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/. No sugarcoating.

And a charge sheet was laid out, in the clearest of terms, how Israel’s northern front went from relatively calm to the highest level of alert in fire-speak – https://adinakutnicki.com/2013/05/22/israels-northern-front-primed-for-explosion-who-lit-the-match-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/.

So, the fact that a precursor to World War 3 was written in Dec 2012 – https://adinakutnicki.com/2012/12/07/world-war-3s-place-markers-set-up-through-barack-hussein-obamas-mid-east-fires-addendum-to-northeast-intelligence-network-posits-a-direct-nexus-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/ – does not render this blog with soothsayer status, but it does mean that the facts at hand could have been avoided, if the Commander-in-Chief was not an Islamist at heart and a coke fiend to boot, doing the down and dirty while Benghazigate exploded – https://adinakutnicki.com/2013/05/24/whatwho-was-occupying-obamas-missing-time-as-americans-died-in-benghazi-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/.

But not to let them off the hook, Israel’s leadership was skewered in an interview with Inquisitr –  https://adinakutnicki.com/2013/05/28/the-inquisitr-interviews-adina-kutnicki-the-reality-of-life-for-an-israeli-patriot-2/ …and baring these truths was more than heart rending, but still the facts at hand. And this is how we came from there to here –  

‘Israeli forebodings over widening Russian-Hizballah-Iraqi intervention in Syria’

DEBKAfile Special Report May 29, 2013
Russian Syrian military drill

Russian Syrian military drill

Forebodings were voiced Wednesday, May 29, by senior Israeli military officers in the face of the widening military intervention in the Syria civil war by Russia, Iran, Hizballah and latterly Iraq too. They have made Syria’s civil war the platform for a Russian contest against the West and a ladder up which Iran and its proxy Hizballah are climbing to top Middle East regional power spot.
Russia, Iran and Hizballah are winning the contest by default against an unresisting US-led West and a hesitant Israel.
A senior IDF officer acknowledged on Wednesday, May 29, that Israel’s government and military leaders are at a loss on how to proceed. They have yet to recover from the calamitous miscalculation that Bashar Assad’s days were numbered to which they clung stubbornly for almost eighteen months.

Even today, some spokesmen refer to a “disintegrating Syria,” thereby losing sight of the major strategic and military changes overtaking the country that are entirely to Israel’s detriment as well as eroding its options against a nuclear Iran.
At a time that the US and Israel should be using their heaviest military guns to slow Iran’s race for a nuclear bomb, Tehran with Moscow’s backing has brought its military assets up close to Israel’s borders in Syria and Lebanon and openly threatens to use them.

Unlike Syria and Iran, Israel can’t count on military intervention against an aggressor by supportive big powers.  According to DEBKAfile’s Washington sources, no part of the Obama administration, including its military and intelligence arms, favors military action in Syria.
Even the direct evidence of chemical warfare already afoot in Syria is unavailing.

In Addis Ababa, US Secretary of State John Kerry repeated the administration’s mantra Wednesday by denying “concrete evidence” of the use of chemical weapons in Syria.
The Secretary and the rest of NATO were deaf to the vivid testimony brought to Le Monde Wednesday by two reporters, who risked their necks by spending two months concealed in the Jobar district of Damascus. They discovered Russia or Iran had developed a chemical weapon that does not explode. The release of its poisonous gases sounds like popping the top off a can of soda and has “no odor, no smoke, not even a whistle to indicate the release of a toxic gas.”
So what does happen?

The Le Monde reporters provided a graphic first-hand description.

“The men cough violently. Their eyes burn, their pupils shrink, their vision blurs. Soon they experience difficulty breathing, sometimes in the extreme; they begin to vomit or lose consciousness. The fighters worst affected need to be evacuated before they suffocate.”
Wednesday morning, the Israeli Home Front rehearsed an attack on a Jerusalem suburb by a chemical-tipped missile.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, who watched, said the exercise is designed to protect Israeli civilians “from the threats pilling up around us.” Israel’s home front is the best protected in the world but also the most threatened, he said: “We must make sure that defense is in place before an attack.
Tuesday, Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon voiced his certainty that the Syrian President would not use chemical weapons against Israel or treat Israelis the way he treats his own people. There is no indication that anyone in the region intends to challenge us any time soon with unconventional weapons, said the defense minister.

DEBKAfile’s military sources find Ya’alon’s comment delusory. They don’t see why Assad would treat Israelis differently from his own people – especially since the IDF has presented him with no real deterrent. After all, none of Israel’s three air strikes in January and May stopped the flow of Hizballah fighters into Syria. And meanwhile, Syrian and Hizballah leaders are declaring loud and clear that a war front against Israel is already operating from the Syrian Golan and Lebanon.
The question is who in Israel is listening. And what is being done to make sure that Assad will be prevented from using chemical weapons against Israeli military and civilian targets at a time of his convenience.
The spate of events in the last 48 hours is troubling – to say the least.
Monday, US Senator John McCain was reported to have paid a secret visit to Syria. What did this “visit” consist of? DEBKAfile reports: The senator entered Syria from Turkey through the Kilis corridor which is the main supply route for the rebels in Aleppo, one of the few still under their control. McCain penetrated some 300 meters into Syria, had his picture taken, and left.

A US publication reported Wednesday that President Barack Obama had ordered the Pentagon to draw up plans to establish no-fly zones over Syria against Syrian warplanes. The Pentagon thereupon issued a denial: “There are no new American operational plans,” said the spokesman.

Moscow’s response was ready in place even before the report was published.
Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said the S-300 anti-air missiles that Russia was supplying the Assad regime were a “stabilizing factor” that could dissuade “some hotheads” from entering the conflict.

In the grades Moscow handed out for foreign interventionists: The US and Israel and their leaders were “hotheads” while Moscow,  the calm, rational stabilizer.
In that capacity, DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources reveal that a huge Russian cargo plane landed in Latakia airport Wednesday with 60 tons of “humanitarian aid for Syria.”
The nature of this cargo was not disclosed, but the last thing it must have been was “humanitarian” given the massive military aid Moscow is extending Assad’s army.
Moscow also knocked on the head the timorous decision by European Union foreign ministers Tuesday to lift the arms embargo for Syrian rebels, which they carefully combined with a decision not to send them weapons.

In sum, the US is not doing anything to help the rebels, Europe is not sending arms, the rebels’ Persian Gulf patrons have bowed to pressure from Washington and slashed their weapons aid, while Israel declares it wants no part of the Syrian civil war – even after it assumed the calamitous proportions of a world power contest with Israel’s arch foes gaining the upper hand.
So who is feeding the flames of the Syrian conflict with a generous supply of military hardware? Who but Russia, the self-styled “stabilizing factor”

The Free Syrian Army’s Supreme Commander Gen. Salem Idris made a desperate show of bravado Wednesday, by threatening to strike Hizballah strongholds in Lebanon if Hassan Nasrallah does not pull his brigades out of Syria within 24 hours.

Hizballah knows perfectly well that Gen. Salem is starved of weapons, just he knows that the US, Europe or Israel will not interfere with the stream of fighting strength he is pumping into Syria.
At worst, a few rockets will hit Hizballah centers in Beirut and the Beqaa Valley. Early Tuesday morning, the rebels tried to ambush Hizballah forces near the eastern town of Arsal. Their operation went badly wrong and mistakenly killed three Lebanese soldiers manning an army checkpoint.
The senior Israeli officer interviewed by DEBKAfile put all these forebodings into words when he said: “A military and strategic catastrophe for the West and Israel is in full flight in Syria, and no one in Washington or Jerusalem is lifting a finger. Israel’s government and military heads never imagined that the Syrian war would take this turn. But we had better wake up at this eleventh hour – before it is too late.”

While few will admit it, Israel’s leadership hasn’t learned a damn thing since the 1973 “surprise” Yom Kippur War. In essence, while all the signs of military buildup were there – at least for those who chose to keep their eyes opened – the fact of the matter was that Jerusalem’s top leadership preferred to keep them shut. As such, it was THAT close to midnight, forty years ago to be exact, a pittance in historical context. In this regard, the “Samson Option” was almost operational – http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/History/intel73.html.

The players have changed, but nothing else, when you fast forward to the upcoming regional firestorm. The gravest error from PM Netanyahu’s tenure (and there are many to choose from) is hitching Jerusalem’s wagon to Washington, particularly under the reign of Barack HUSSEIN Obama. History will bear this out, thus, proving what happens when a statesman is not at the helm. It is not a question of this boom strike or that one, or a sabotage here or there in enemy territory. But it is a matter of statesmanship. And the fact of the matter is that a true Jewish, Zionist statesman would NEVER leave Israel’s fate dangling in Washington, especially when witnessing the massive buildup of its genocidal foes at its borders. 

Let no one be mistaken, irrespective of Israel’s failure of leadership, as to what really hangs in the balance: if Israel sees itself near destruction, Jerusalem will take down the entire Mid East, plus other “valuable” targets which are already marked out. The region will burn to the ground, as well it should. 

It is past the eleventh hour…it is less than a quarter to midnight!!

UPDATE: ‘Israel and Syria cross verbal swords over S-300s as Hizballah pushes south’ – http://www.debka.com/article/23002/Israel-and-Syria-cross-verbal-swords-over-S-300s-as-Hizballah-pushes-south-

Obama Inc’s Trial Balloons Re “Containing” Iran: Assorted Think Tanks/Surrogates Have His Back…Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

From the get go this blog indicates that the Islamist-in-Chief has zero intention of striking Iran’s death project, but is duly determined in continuing with his jaw-jaw on one hand and imposing “biting ” sanctions on the other. Regardless, the sanctions have been circumvented in every conceivable aspect, pouring mega resources into racing to the bomb, yet their citizens be damned. WMD’s uber alles. 

In fact, this address raises the issue of Washington’s preparatory groundwork, in effect, subliminally messaging (to its domestic audience, as well as for foreign ears) that “living” with a nuclear Iran, with the goal being “containment”, is the prudent way forward. Never mind that the military option was never really on the table, other than through saber rattling and as a way to concomitantly contain/restrain Israel from taking action! Worse than evil…This would be akin to policy wonks advising Roosevelt to “contain” Hitler & his henchmen, yet on an exponentially calamitous scale. Insanity. Such an aberrant view would also have posited that there was no compelling humane necessity to stop Hitler’s killing machine through hammer blow bombings, but just to try and talk him down and keep an eye on him. Really.

At the head of this (mis)school of thought stands the “realists”, most of whom are deeply aligned with Iranian interests, either through “think tanks” or financially flush lobbying groups. Their twisted “realism” has them convinced (principally via baksheesh/bribery and other related perks) that since Israel (which they despise anyway…pining for its disappearance) is directly in the cross hairs, it is surely not a compelling American interest to utilize military force to stop another potential Holocaust. In tandem, if they continue “accommodating” Iran, surely the mullahs will stay clear of striking America’s shores. A win-win. Nevertheless, authentic realists understand that the “Big Satan” is the ultimate target, once the “Little Satan” bites the dust. However, blind hatred towards Israel, plus unbridled greed and power, allows for many to sit atop their brains.

Principally, the Islamist-in-Chief has Israel’s back, but not in its conventional meaning. A knife, poised to strike its back, is a hell of a lot more apt a description, as demonstrated within – https://adinakutnicki.com/2012/11/06/obamas-second-term-plans-for-israel-if-re-elected-going-for-broke-addendum-to-stunning-video-exposing-islamist-in-chiefs-mendacity-re-israel-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/.

In furtherance of the above betrayal (despite Congress’s basic support of Israel…though largely irrelevant when the White House is bent on a foreign policy course, even if required to garner Congressional approval…think, Benghazigate) the Betrayer-in-Chief exerted every pressure to alternately string Jerusalem along via “assurances” ala rope-a-dope, or twist Israel’s high level leadership’s arms, as required – https://adinakutnicki.com/2013/02/07/the-convergence-of-netanyahus-red-line-ajads-visit-to-cairo-irans-nuclear-status-barack-hussein-obamas-sojourn-to-israel-what-can-go-wrong-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/ . DO take note of the commentary’s date, over 3 1/2 months ago, a lifetime in Mid East politics.

‘A grand retreat from confronting Iran?’

Jerusalem Post By DAVID M. WEINBERG
Washington wags are preparing a climb-down from Obama’s declared policy of halting Tehran’s nuclear drive.

Centrifuges unveiled in Natanz

Centrifuges unveiled in Natanz Photo: REUTERS
A new Washington report headlined by former US under secretary of state for political affairs Thomas R. Pickering argues that America should end its confrontation with Iran over Tehran’s nuclear weapons drive.Pickering and his senior “Iran Project” colleagues want President Obama to altogether drop sanctions and covert action against Iran. They assert that sanctions are only “contributing to an increase in repression and corruption within Iran,” and alas “may be sowing the seeds of long-term alienation between the Iranian people and the United States.”Pickering’s call for American capitulation to Iran is now being echoed across the Washington wag world. Numerous think tanks are seeding the American diplomatic and political discourse with similar messages, and paving the way for a climbdown from Obama’s declared policy of preventing (and not merely containing) Iran’s obtainment of a nuclear weapon.This week, the Center for a New American Security, a think tank closely affiliated with the Obama administration, made it clear which way the Washington winds are blowing. Its study, “The Challenges of Containing a Nuclear-Armed Iran,” was primarily authored by former Obama administration deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East Prof. Colin H. Kahl. He outlines “a comprehensive framework to manage and mitigate the consequences of a nuclear-armed Iran.” In other words, stopping the Iranian nuclear effort is already a passé discussion.Last month, an Atlantic Council task force (which Chuck Hagel co-chaired until he was appointed secretary of defense), similarly released a report that called for Washington to “lessen the chances for war through reinvigorated diplomacy that offers Iran a realistic and face-saving way out of the nuclear standoff.” That’s diplomatic- speak for a containment strategy.To top it all off, the Defense Department allied Rand Corporation concluded this week that a nuclear-armed Iran would not pose a fundamental threat to the United States and its regional allies. In “Iran After the Bomb: How Would a Nuclear-Armed Tehran Behave?” Rand’s experts assert that the acquisition by Tehran of nuclear weapons would above all be intended to deter an attack by hostile powers, presumably including Israel and the United States, rather than for aggressive purposes. “An Iran with nukes will still be a declining power,” they say. “Iran does not have territorial ambitions and does not seek to invade, conquer, or occupy other nations.”How reassuring.Similarly, Paul Pillar, a veteran CIA analyst who served as the National intelligence officer for the Middle East and South Asia, has published a lengthy essay in The Washington Monthly titled “We Can Live With a Nuclear Iran: Fears of a Bomb in Tehran’s Hands Are Overhyped, and a War to Prevent It Would Be a Disaster.”And finally, the leading realist theorist of the past century, Prof. Kenneth N. Waltz of Columbia University’s Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies (who died last week), actually argued in his last published article that Iran shouldget the bomb! It would create “a more durable balance of military power in the Middle East,” he wrote in the establishment journal Foreign Affairs.You could see this coming. Last November, ambassador Pickering showed up in Israel and asked to meet associates (including me) at the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies. Pickering wanted our understanding for a “nuanced” and “sophisticated” view of Iran. Iran is emerging as a significant regional and global actor, he said, that must be engaged.What about the use of military force to crush the Iranian nuclear bomb program? Well, Pickering was basically not prepared to countenance the use of American military force against Iran under any circumstances.Military force should be the very last resort taken by the US, Pickering told us, “and probably not at all.” The financial, strategic and diplomatic costs of a military operation against Iran, he said, would be too onerous.Pickering had nothing to say about the long-term strategic costs to the West of not confronting Iran.Needless to say, he got a cold shower from his Israeli interlocutors. We understood what he was doing: Preparing America for accommodation with a nuclear Iran.It’s important to understand that Pickering, Pillar, Kahl and Waltz faithfully represent the views of large segments of the academic, diplomatic and defense establishments in Washington and New York, who don’t see Iran as an oversized threat to America. They view Iran as a rational actor, and are seeking a “Nixonian moment,” in which Washington would seek strategic accommodation with Tehran, as it did with Beijing.One of the only front-ranking Washington policy wonks who has argued that Tehran’s nuclear program should be bombed is Prof. Steven David of Johns Hopkins University (who is on the academic advisory board of the Israeli Begin- Sadat Center). In a powerful essay in this month’s issue ofThe American Interest, he argues that “Any non-casual examination of the mullahs’ writings and sermonizing about Israel and Jews reveals unalloyed anti-Semitism of a very familiar, protogenocidal type…. Even with all its horrendous implications, a military solution is preferable to a nuclear-armed Iran whose leaders are likely one day to find themselves with nothing to lose, and everything to destroy.” Another is former Pentagon adviser Matthew Kroenig who has written that a US strike on Iran “is the least bad option.”For the moment, and at least on record, the administration is sticking by its “dual track approach of rigorous sanctions and serious negotiations.”Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel (who was once a member of the Iran Project and Atlantic Council task forces) reassured The Washington Institute two weeks ago that “President Obama has made clear that our policy is to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon, and he has taken no option off the table to ensure that outcome.”But the softer signals and acquiescent music coming from Washington are increasingly hard to miss. The grand climbdown from confronting Iran seems inexorable.
Corrupt leaders often use trial balloons and straw men to push forward with reckless and dangerous policies. And even though they may viscerally understand the (beyond) high stakes poker involved, many are willing to pursue short-term gains – whether financial-related, or to ward off fateful decisions – instead of prudent strategic initiatives for long-term national interests.

Herein lies the main distinction between vacuous, self serving leaders and what qualifies as statesmen. The tragedy of our times is that the likes of Obama Inc. is emblematic of top western leadership. Not a statesman to be found. Hide nor hare.