The Poisonous Fruits Of Appeasement, Iran Crosses The “RED LINE”…Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

Let’s be inordinately clear – this blog is not suggesting that Israel’s leaders (heaven forbid) wanted Iran’s Hitlerite regime to cross the “red line” ; you know, the one referred to at the UN, as PM Netanyahu held up a somewhat cartoonish graph, depicting its red point of no return. 

NEVERTHELESS, for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction – www.physicsclassroom.com/Class/newtlaws/u2l4a.cfm and this is certainly the case in the high stake “art” of geo-politics, even though the above refers to scientific principles, derived from Newton’s Third Law of Motion. Now, in a million years, can never lay claim to scientific prowess (will leave this domain in the highly capable hands of my engineering sons, as well an off the charts, brilliant daughter-in-law), but can certainly stake an expertise in geo-political acumen, intuiting actions which evoke equal and opposite reactions.

The most pressing issue, without exaggeration, an existential one, facing Israel (and by extension the west) revolves around Iran, and its quest to gain the ultimate weapons of mass destruction. Therefore, a “shadow war” has been waged between Israel & Iran (others as well) for well over a decade, and there has been some tangible “knock-on” effects, resulting in some breathing room. Buying for time.

Specifically, Israel’s special forces, Sayeret Matkal, have always been in the forefront of things/people going boom, as related to Iran’s project of death – adinakutnicki.com/2013/01/28/israels-special-forces-sayeret-matkal-take-the-lead-fordow-goes-boom-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/. Kudos.

In fact, tens of Iranian Generals & nuclear scientists have already met their Allah, as part of Israel’s “shadow war” – https://adinakutnicki.com/2013/02/17/iranian-generals-proxy-convoys-too-going-boom-whats-going-on-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/

A blessing on their heads – NOT the “dearly” departed! Nonetheless, the heretofore “red line” is no longer viable, even if Jerusalem and Washington opine otherwise. And this assessment is based on more than the following analysis, but it certainly seals the deal.

‘REVEALED! EVIDENCE IRAN CROSSED NUCLEAR ‘RED LINE’

‘Source reveals details about enriched uranium, plutonium stockpiles’

Published: March 21, 2013

Reza Kahlili

Plutonium

Iranian scientists are working on nuclear warheads – and trying to perfect them – at an underground site unknown to the West, according to a high-ranking intelligence officer of the Islamic regime.

The officer, who has been assigned to the Ministry of Defense, not only provided the coordinates to this vast site but also details of its operation.

The site, approximately 14 miles long and 7.5 miles wide, consists of two facilities built deep into a mountain along with a missile facility that is surrounded by barbed wire, 45 security towers and several security posts.

The new secret nuclear site, named Quds (Jerusalem), is almost 15 miles from another site, previously secret but exposed in 2009, the Fordow nuclear facility. The power to this site comes from the same source as Fordow – the Shahid Rajaei power plant – with high power towers surrounding the site.

Construction of the site started about the same time as Fordow, and in the second half of 2010 all industrial tests were completed. The site became 60 percent operational in 2011.

Gen. Ahmad Vahid Datjerdi, who works in the supreme leader’s office to protect the regime’s information and counterintelligence, manages the site. His deputy, Hojatolislam Ramezani, was appointed to the protection of intelligence at the Defense Ministry after several leaks about the country’s nuclear operations.

Quds, built about 375 feet under the mountain and accessible by two large entrances reinforced with concrete, has 12 emergency exit tunnels and spreads around the mountain.

The site has a capacity of 8,000 centrifuges and currently has three operational chambers with 19 cascades of 170 to 174 centrifuges enriching uranium. As of three months ago, the source said, there were 76 kilograms of 20 percent enriched uranium stock at the site and 48 kilograms of over 40 percent enriched uranium.

Though the regime has long succeeded in enriching uranium to 20 percent, which is 80 percent of the way to weapons grade, enriching to over 20 percent would be a clear sign of an intention of building a nuclear bomb.

One chamber is specifically allocated to laser enrichment research and development, and Iranian scientists have seen great progress, the source said.

The most significant information provided by the source is that the regime has succeeded in not only enriching to weapons grade but has converted the highly enriched uranium into metal.

GoogleEarth 12-2012 Image, Quds secret nuclear facility

Moreover, the source said, successfully using the metal in making a neutron reflector indicates the final stages for a nuclear weapons design that would be a two-stage, more sophisticated and much more powerful nuclear bomb.

Regime scientists are also working on a plutonium bomb as a second path to becoming nuclear-armed, the source said, and they have at this site 24 kilograms of plutonium, which is sufficient for several atomic bombs.

The scientists are at the last stage of putting together a bomb warhead, he said, and the scientists in their design for a plutonium bomb are using polonium and beryllium, which would serve as the trigger and the tamper, respectively, for the bomb.

GoogleEarth 12-2012 Image, Close up of the two entrances into the Quds nuclear facility

Iranian scientists, aided by North Koreans, are also working on new ways to have more miniaturized and more powerful atomic bombs, he said.

Adjacent to the Quds facility is another facility dubbed “Martyr Mughniyah” after the Lebanese terrorist Imad Mughniyah, the source said. Personnel at this site work on missiles and warheads.

GoogleEarth 12-2012 image, Imad Mughniyah missile and warhead facility

The regime is building its Shahab 3 ballistic missiles there using compressed composite carbon material, which originated at an American company, he said. The company manufactures advanced composite materials and structural parts. Iran purchased the carbon material through an intermediary in Turkey, the source said. The material makes it possible to have a longer missile range with larger warheads.

The regime is working on 17 Shahab 3 missiles in preparation of arming them with nuclear warheads, the source said. The operational and technical aspect of the delivery system is 80 percent completed, he said

The regime, aided by North Korea, is also working on neutron warheads that could be used as super EMP weapons for electromagnetic pulse attacks.

GoogleEarth 12-2012 image, The road connecting both Quds nuclear facility to Imad Mughniyah missile and warhead facility

Overhead images clearly show this site has over 380 missile depots and launching pads, facilities that can house large ballistic missiles, most likely Shahab 3 and possibly North Korean Taepodong II (ICBMs). The source added that this missile site is the center of the regime’s defensive and offensive strategies and supports other missile sites: the Imam Ali near the city of Khoram Abad in the Lorestan province and the one in Tabriz in the province of East Azarbaijan – to be used in any attack on Israeli and U.S. military bases in the Middle East.

This facility provides the missiles for Hezbollah, the source said, and, with the help of North Koreans, is mass producing a new generation of napalm bombs to be shipped to the terrorist group while at the same time working on white phosphorus bombs to be used for terrorist acts.

The images also show a military airfield for the sole use of officers at this facility.

GoogleEarth 12-2012 image, the vast missile site

The source noted that for this calendar year, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has allocated $22 billion toward the country’s nuclear bomb and missile programs, funded by entities under the control of the supreme leader.

Dr. Peter Vincent Pry, executive director of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security, an expert on nuclear strategy and weapons who served on several strategic congressional commissions and in the CIA, reviewed the imagery and human intelligence (HUMINT) and called for a congressional hearing.

“The newly discovered underground complex looks like the kind of enormous complexes built by the U.S.S.R. during the Cold War and by Russia today,” Pry said. “Heavily hardened and fortified and supplied with huge amounts of electric power, by what appear to be 765-kilovolt electric power lines, the imagery suggests a top-priority military site. Nuclear-weapons programs consume vast amounts of electricity.”

GoogleEarth 12-2012 image, missile depots

GoogleEarth 12-2012 image, a close up shot of missile depots

The location of the site amid an Iranian missile armory, protected by a vast array of defensive and offensive missiles, is consistent with the HUMINT reporting that the site is for the final stages of nuclear weapons development, he said, and that the complex appears to be the most heavily protected site in Iran.

“The HUMNINT reporting claims the complex is for both the final stages of uranium enrichment – indeed, that Iran has crossed the ‘red line’ and is converting uranium hexafluoride gas into weapons-grade metal – and for actual bomb fabrication,” Pry said. “And the source gets sophisticated engineering details of nuclear weapons design right, even though the source is allegedly a non-expert.

“The source claims Iran now has all the materials for building nuclear weapons, such as weapons-grade uranium, plutonium as well as polonium and beryllium,” he said. “One can infer from the descriptions some design characteristics of parts for making implosion plutonium weapons and two-stage atomic weapons. The latter is a design far more sophisticated than the Hiroshima bomb that could have a much higher yield and possibly produce an explosion 50 times greater than Hiroshima,” according to Dr. Pry.

GoogleEarth 12-2012 image, missile silos, the size suggests large ballistic missiles such as Shahab 3 or the North Korean Taepodong II (ICBMs)

Fritz Ermarth, who served in the CIA and as chairman of the National Intelligence Council, reviewed the imagery. “There is much work to be done by imagery analysts on the photos Reza (Kahlili) has produced,” he said. “For example, is spoil from the tunneling visible? Does it tell us how extensive the tunneling is? But taken as a package, this imagery strongly suggests that Iran is working on what we used to call an ‘objective force.’ That is the objective of a deployed force of nuclear weapons on mobile missiles, normally based in deep underground sites for survivability against even nuclear attack, capable of rapid deployment. … They do suggest that Iran is working the problem of becoming a nuclear weapons power in a serious way, not just playing around for a few nukes on the shelf.”

GoogleEarth 12-2012 image, mobile missile launchers spread out throughout the mountainous terrain

Ambassador Henry Cooper, the former director of the Strategic Defense Initiative and chief negotiator on nuclear and space treaties with the Soviet Union, said, “Iran’s apparent interest and investments in underground systems are clearly coupled with its programs to develop and potentially employ weapons of mass destruction in the face of armaments that may be deployed against them, whether by Israel (‘the little Satan’) or the United States (‘the Great Satan’). Most notable is the fact that Iran has already demonstrated its ability to launch satellites into low earth orbit. When they also gain confidence in their nuclear weapons, they can then use those launchers to place nuclear weapons in earth orbit and detonate them over wherever they wish, creating an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) that could level its strategic playing field with all of Western civilization. This is perhaps their ultimate asymmetric weapon. Far-fetched? I wouldn’t bet (against) it.”

In an annual report to Congress Tuesday, U.S. National Intelligence Director James Clapper stated that Iran could not produce weapons-grade uranium without being detected. President Obama, in an interview last week with Israel’s channel 2 TV, said Iran is still “over a year or so” away from building a nuclear weapon.

However, the International Atomic Energy Agency in its Feb, 21 report stated that the Islamic regime has yet to provide access to several suspected sites, including its Parchin military facility, which is suspected of carrying out tests on nuclear bomb components.

http://www.wnd.com/2013/03/revealed-evidence-iran-crossed-nuclear-red-line/#cbcvScDClSsqAeaT.99

Had the following, by Professor Louis Rene Beres, been heeded (www.acpr.org.il/ENGLISH-NATIV/03-issue/daniel-3.htm) – adinakutnicki.com/2012/11/15/irans-wmd-genocidal-project-oxford-university-press-highlights-professor-louis-rene-beres-my-mentor-the-legal-basis-for-pre-emption-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/  we would not be where we are – facing the ultimate weapons of destruction from a genocidal regime, Allah-bent on wiping Israel/Jews off the face of the earth. Americans and other westerners alike.

Pay no mind to the blatherings, emanating from Washington & Jerusalem. The jig – the “impenetrable” “red line” – is up!

UPDATE: 

‘Obama, Netanyahu grant Iran another three months’ grace’

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 22, 2013

“Iran red line disappears under the red carpet”……www.debka.com/article/22847/Obama-Netanyahu-grant-Iran-another-three-months%E2%80%99-grace….and this latest “news” ties into the following assessment – adinakutnicki.com/2013/03/21/israels-leadership-unfit-to-lead-capitulating-to-hamas-the-one-regardless-of-the-spin-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/

1 + 1…..

UPDATE: PM Netanyahu & A Lawless Syrian Border…Decision Time Is Imminent…Will He Step Up?Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

It often appears as if this blog is continually whacking Obama and his lawless regime. It is. Yet it is not as if Israel’s leadership leaves much to be desired. Not at all. In fact, if one had to sum up their main deficit it would be impossible. There are too many. But when push comes to shove, a glaring shortcoming comes to mind – appeasement.

This attribute is not only revolting and embarrassing, but it is deadly. And when an imperiled nation continually aligns its security with another nation – even its “best friend” – it behooves Israelis to sit up and take notice. Not only that, but to demand to know: why are their leaders incessantly flying off to Washington, every time a national strategic imperative is in the offing? Moreover, in light of the fact that an Islamist-in-Chief is at the helm, and his new DM (& soon to be CIA head as well) has proven to be in bed with Arab/Muslim interests, why in hell did PM Netanyahu send his leftist-bent DM to consult with Arabist DM Hagel? Has he lost his mind? Not exactly.

As revealed in previous commentaries, spineless leaders are simply incapable of making strategic decisions – adinakutnicki.com/2012/11/23/spineless-leaders-always-revert-true-to-formthey-cave-and-israels-leaders-are-its-poster-boys-addendum-to-israels-ship-of-fools-led-by-delusional-leadership-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/. Forget about the fact that PM Netanyahu was a Sayeret Matkal commando – www.vanityfair.com/culture/features/2001/12/israeli-counterterrorism-200112 – his brave ship has sailed.

It is too often the case, when military types become political honchos the first thing they lose is their nerve, becoming squishy leftists in the process. A recipe for national disaster.  Why? Ask their psychiatrists. Nevertheless, the result is deadly, as Al Qaeda and its offshoots are poised to take over areas abutting another ! Israeli border, if PM Netanyahu doesn’t buck up. 

‘Syrian no-man’s land bordering Israel and Jordan is up for grabs’

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 2, 2013,

Israeli military drill on the Golan
Israeli military drill on the Golan

The four Syrian mortar shells exploding on the Israeli side of the Golan Saturday, March 2, flashed a signal to Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu that the moment is at hand to step in and decide how to dispose of the expanse of southern Syrian bordering on northern Israel. This urgency sent Defense Minister Ehud Barak flying to Washington Friday March 1, to meet new US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel next Tuesday.

At the top of their agenda for discussion this time will not be Iran but, DEBKAfile’s military sources report, the disappearance, except for scattered military units, of Bashar Assad’s ruling presence and army from the Syrian areas abutting on Israel and Jordan. The collapse of Assad’s defense lines on these two borders generates a new strategic situation of major import.
Most Israelis, including their media, are too deeply engrossed in the ins and outs of Netanyahu’s struggle to form a coalition government to notice that a no man’s land has opened up on the Syrian Golan, the Horon province (where the Syrian uprising first erupted two years ago), and the Yarmuk River dividing Syria from Jordan.
At the same time,  the Assad army is all but gone from there and the Syrian rebels are constrained from moving into the abandoned territory by three considerations:

1. They are short of the manpower for seizing and holding it;

2.  Their commanders have evidently not caught onto the brilliant international, strategic opportunity waiting to drop in their laps;
3.  The Druze community in their mountain fortresses overlooking the territory is poised to prevent any outsider takeover.
Israel is confronted with a choice between leaving the long-menacing areas overlooking the Sea of Galilee and its north-eastern regions to an unknown fate – or asserting control itself.
At this point, Israel’s armed forces still have three options:
a)  Directly capturing dominant points in those no-man’s land areas as guarantees of a say in who eventually dominates them.
b)  Military support for a Druze land grab.
c)  Military collaboration with Jordan to control the fate of the abandoned lands abutting both their borders.
There is still time to pre-empt developments that would be detrimental to Israel’s security: One such development would be a deal being reached on how to dispose of the abandoned territory between the Assad government and Syrian opposition in the talks opening in Moscow Tuesday, March 5.
This deal would open the door for ensconcing on the Israeli border Muslim extremists, such as the pro-Al Qaeda factions fighting with the Syrian rebels.
Barak’s mission to Washington is to align Israel-US positions on these and other urgent topics with the new US defense secretary. DEBKAfile’s Washington sources are skeptical about his chances of success in view of the Obama administration’s decision to pass the resolution of the Syrian question to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

This leaves the initiative up to Netanyahu. He has shown exceptional skill of late in ducking clear decisions on such matters. However, indecisiveness at this moment could cost Israel dear in the future.”

www.debka.com/article/22799/Syrian-no-man%E2%80%99s-land-bordering-Israel-and-Jordan-is-up-for-grabs
 

Upon reading the above, does it appear unreasonable for this American-Israel to be hyper-concerned, even if booms do go off?- adinakutnicki.com/2013/01/28/israels-special-forces-sayeret-matkal-take-the-lead-fordow-goes-boom-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/. Whereas every offensive/defensive measure is more than mandatory, it is a far cry from taking hold of territory; land which will otherwise be grabbed by the enemy to target Israel’s citizens, rendering them little more than ducks in a shooting gallery. 

Thus, the combination of spinelessness/toadying is coming to a head via Syria. Soon thereafter, decision time re Iran is coming due. Though both threats are morphed together, as Syria is a client state of Iran and so is Lebanon, the abandoned land on Israel’s border is a neon sign for Al Qaeda and tentacles, if PM Netanyahu doesn’t pre-empt.

Most significantly, recall the recent “ceasefire” with Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood Mafia’s progeny, and how PM Netanyahu acceded – once again – to Washington to “cease” Israel’s fire – adinakutnicki.com/2012/12/16/pm-netanyahus-cease-fire-and-its-deadly-results-soon-to-blow-up-in-israels-face-addendum-to-spineless-leaders-revert-true-to-form-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/. What kind of leadership behaves like a yo-yo, pulling its forces in and out of war zones, effectively, allowing another nation to call its shots – literally? A tethered one.

If past is prologue, wondering whether PM Netanyahu has the internal fortitude to man up is more than in order. The lightening speed of events on Israel’s northern front (or any of its borders) necessitates more than a pair of binoculars and requisite knowledge of the encircling perils. It requires a spine of steel. There is every reason for pessimism. 

UPDATE: pessimism, re Netanyahu’s ability to step up, particularly due to his leftist DM – the ever scowling Barak – is indeed warranted, even though this blogger couldn’t predict that its efficacy would eventually come from Washington’s quarters – www.debka.com/article/22803/Washington-Hizballah-has-got-hold-of-chemical-weapons.

 

Iranian Generals…Proxy Convoys Too Going Boom…What’s Going On? Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

In geo-politics one of the first questions to ponder is: to whose benefit is this and that? It is a basic, yet intrinsic, question to ask, especially when examining Israel’s shadow war with its Arab/Muslim enemies. In fact, this is why Israel’s special ops and intelligence agencies are given all due props within Israeli circles, both official and civilian. Essentially, without their extraordinary ground/prep work, the IAF would be targeting in the dark. And that is surely not a recipe for success. View them as stealth warriors, akin to U.S. SEALS, whose main prey (at the moment) are Iran’s “Axis of Evil”.

On the one hand, Israel’s political leaders continually hold the military back from attaining total victory, and this is due to many constraints/restraints. Shuttling back and forth to Washington is certainly not the way to proceed, if one seeks to be the master of ones own fate. That being said, there is “more than one way to skin a cat”, and this is where Israel’s special forces come in, most likely leaving Washington out of the loop. 

In this regard, rational folks recognize when Arab/Muslim mouthpieces bloviate, and the Iranian Hitler is known for his doozies…lights swirling around his head…there are no gays in Iran…and so on. But just like with anyone else, sometimes they are telling the truth! So, let us go back to the thesis statement, and figure out: to whose benefit is this particular General’s death, even considering how many Sunni’s are not unhappy he’s blown to bits.

And if one needs reassuring of the above, let’s go back to similar booms – adinakutnicki.com/2013/02/05/israel-is-finally-taking-off-the-golves-hitting-back-at-irans-proxies-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/…and internalize why they matter.

Thus, adding Syrian “casualties” to the mix seems more than noteworthy – adinakutnicki.com/2013/02/10/the-iaf-takes-center-stage-as-the-civil-war-in-syria-heats-up-flying-over-lebanon-syria-too-straddling-both-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/ …as they get closer and closer to Assad’s chemical arsenals.

Unsurprisingly, Sayeret Matkal takes the lead, as Fordow is one such site of interest – adinakutnicki.com/2013/01/28/israels-special-forces-sayeret-matkal-take-the-lead-fordow-goes-boom-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/ …given the full “star” treatment, of all places, at Vanity Fair – www.vanityfair.com/culture/features/2001/12/israeli-counterterrorism-200112 …go figure.

Nonetheless, here is the latest on the targeted front – 

‘Iran points finger at Israel for IRGC general’s death, vows revenge’

DEBKAfile Special Report February 15, 2013

IRGC General Hassan Shateri
IRGC General Hassan Shateri

“The depth of Iran’s loss by the death of senior Iranian Revolutionary Guards general Hassan Shateri aka Hossam Khosh-Nevis was signified by the rank of mourners at his funeral in Iran Thursday, Feb. 15.  Among them were Iran’s Defense Minister Ahmed Wahidi, Foreign Minister, Ali Akbar Salehi and Al Qods Brigades commander Gen. Qassem Soleimani.

Gen. Shateri was in fact the live wire of the tremendous military effort Iran is investing in Syria for keeping President Bashar Assad in power, DEBKAfile’s Iran and Persian Gulf sources say.  He acted additionally as the vital Iranian link in the military partnership between Assad and the Lebanese Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah.
Iran is reported by Gulf intelligence sources to have initially drawn a veil of secrecy over the time and place of his death for fear exposure would force a military confrontation with Israel. They reveal that Gen. Shateri was in fact killed two weeks ago Saturday, Jan. 30, in the course of the alleged Israeli air strike against a Syrian military complex and arms convoy destined for Hizballah in Lebanon.

Those sources claim that that the Iranian general and two aides who were driving in the same car were the real targets of that air strike.
After the event, Damascus reported two people killed and five injured, without identifying them or releasing their photos as would normally have been routine.

Targeted assassinations by foreign hands claimed by no one are not unusual Syria. In February 2008, Hizballah’s security chief Imad Mughniyeh, who carried out many of the same functions for Tehran as Gen. Shateri, was assassinated in Damascus. Eight months ago, in July 2012, a mysterious explosion wiped out half of Assad’s inner circle, targeting the men running the war against the Syrian uprising.
Tehran was taken aback this time by the precise foreknowledge of Shateri’s movements and the accuracy of the attack, which presumed deep intelligence penetration in Tehran and Beirut as well as Damascus. Now, the Iranians appear to have decided not to take this setback lying down after all. Israel is in their sights for payback – either directly or through their allies, Syria or Hizballah, which both suffered loss from the general’s death.
DEBKAfile has learned that the IRGC general was in the process of rapidly establishing a small guerrilla army of 5,000 Revolutionary Guardsmen and 5,000 Hizballlah operatives for strengthening the defensive ring around Assad’s governing institutions in Damascus and its outskirts, secure the main Syria-Lebanon road routes and keep them open to free military movement between the two countries.

For Tehran, an open highway between Syria and Lebanon is an overriding strategic goal in view of its determination to get Hizballah’s stock of sophisticated weapons out of Syrian stores and across to Lebanon whatever it takes – despite Israel’s reported action to frustrate the transfer.
In Tehran, the influential IRGC preacher, Hojjat-ol-Eslam Mehdi Ta’eb, declared Wednesday in a sermon that Syria’s importance to the Islamic Republic is greater even than the oil region of Khuzestan in southern Iran.”

www.debka.com/article/22769/Iran-points-finger-at-Israel-for-IRGC-general%E2%80%99s-death-vows-revenge

Is there any doubt whose hands sent General Shateri to “paradise”? In light of the latest auspicious event, this American-Israeli surely hopes the much salivated over virgins didn’t materialize! Not being the sort to wish another an unhappy bon voyage, but thinking of this Jew-killer with a smile on his face is just too much to bear.

The IAF Takes Center Stage, As The Civil War in Syria Heats Up…Flying Over Lebanon…Syria Too…Straddling Both…Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

Assad’s outcome is, in no small measure, the Iranian Hitler’s. A victory over the “rebels” is a triumph for A’jad. Yet the Syrian war is neither black nor white. There are so many shades in between its colors are blinding.
Not only that, but whatever shakes out on Israel’s northern border will be fateful for Israelis too. This is precisely why the IDF has been in the mix, but not to cheer on this side or that one. In fact, Jerusalem (mostly) understands that the current struggles are inter-Arab, and neither side is interested in “normalizing” relations with Israel. More to the point, they will turn their terror sights towards Israel, as soon as the opportunity arises.
In this regard, viewing the warring sides in Syria as “six of one and half a dozen of another”, is a clear-eyed way forward – adinakutnicki.com/2012/11/25/the-coming-encirclement-of-syria-six-of-one-half-a-dozen-of-another-addendum-to-islamists-are-bloodthirsty-whatever-their-stripes-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/.
In tandem, the “boom” action (adinakutnicki.com/2013/01/28/israels-special-forces-sayeret-matkal-take-the-lead-fordow-goes-boom-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/) involves the preparatory phase for the upcoming show down, as further intelligence is gathered via the IAF’s continual overflights. But make no mistake, the IAF has orders to eliminate weapons and chemical transfers, all the while it stays alert to traps set by both sides.   

‘Israel Air Force now holds key to fate of Damascus, Assad regime’

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 9, 2013

Israeli Air Force F-15-E figher-bombers
Israeli Air Force F-15-E figher-bombers

The Syrian rebels’ hyped up “Great Confrontation” to capture Damascus the capital has ended in a draw with Bashar Assad’s army like all their previous offensives in recent months. They failed to break through to the heart of the capital past the powerful Syrian army’s 4th Division standing in their path under the command of Gen. Maher Assad, the president’s brother. The rebels also lost their position on the Damascus-Aleppo highway. But amid heavy battles with the division’s troops, the rebels are still clinging to the southern suburbs of Damascus.
The Syrian capital (1.9 million inhabitants) is therefore the second city after Aleppo (2.3 million) to be divided between the combatants.
DEBKAfile’s military sources report that, notwithstanding the bitter fighting, the flow of refugees fleeing Syria has slowed down substantially, as many choose life in war zones over the wretched conditions prevailing in Turkish, Lebanese and Jordanian refugee camps, where rudimentary essentials such as food, clean water, heating and basic medical services are lacking for the hundreds of thousands of dispossessed Syrians. Adding to these horrors, some Syrian families are said to be selling their daughters for food.
The Syrian outward refugee movement now tends to be internal, people in embattled areas seeking asylum in regions outside the war zones, such as the Druze Mountains southeast of the Golan and Kurdish areas in the north.
Since the Israeli air strike on the Syrian military complex of Jamraya on Jan. 30, Syria’s warring sides have been looking over their shoulders to assess Israel’s moves before embarking on the next stage of their contest because of two considerations:

1.  DEBKAfile’s military sources report that when the rebels first looked like breaking through to the heart of Damascus in the early part of their offensive – and so forcing Syrian President Bashar Assad to flee the capital – he ordered his army’s 4th Division tanks and short-range surface missiles to be armed with chemical weapons. They were to be used if the city’s defenses were breached. This would have made the battle for Damascus the first Syrian war engagement to deploy chemical weapons in combat.
The only military force close enough to prevent this happening and destroying the forces wielding chemical arms was the Israel Air Force. Its intervention would have been critical in giving the rebels victory.

2.  Ever since the Jamraya episode, Lebanon military sources report Israel Air Force fighters and surveillance planes are conducting over flights almost every day.
According to our military sources, the Israeli aircraft are densely deployed over Syria’s borders with Israel, Jordan and Lebanon, to guard against two eventualities, which the Netanyahu government is bound to preempt:

a)  Information has reached US and Israeli intelligence that Bashar Assad has vowed to his close circle that he will make Israel pay for Jumraya.

b)  Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has directed the Syrian ruler to make every possible effort to transfer to Hizballah in Lebanon the batch of Iran-supplied sophisticated weapons stored in Syria. This directive was handed to Assad by Iran’s National Security Director Saeed Jalilee when they met in Damascus last Sunday, Feb. 3.
All the parties concerned understand that Israel is just as determined to block this transfer as Tehran and Damascus are resolved to get it through.

In view of these challenges and their potential for an armed clash, Israel is keeping an eagle eye on every twist and turn of Assad’s forces in Damascus for any indications of the onset of chemical warfare or traffic on the move toward the Lebanese border with Hizballah’s weapons.
The Syrian ruler for his part is busy hatching schemes for keeping this arms traffic out of the electronic sight of the Israel Air Force, whereas the Syrian rebels are laying plans for provoking a clash between the Syrian army and the Israeli air force to provide them with an opportune moment for bringing their “great confrontation” in Damascus to a successful conclusion.

www.debka.com/article/22752/Israel-Air-Force-now-holds-key-to-fate-of-Damascus-Assad-regime

In the meanwhile, paradoxically, the IAF is the only air force ready, willing and able to step in, as necessitated. As to which side will benefit from said “interception”, well, it’s up in the air. Literally.