PM Netanyahu’s ‘Do Or Die Moment’ HAS Arrived: Iran’s Genocidal Program, Too Little Too Late? Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

Some of us – in both our professional and personal lives – are unafraid to state the truth. Basically, we let it all hang out. And while there are certainly repercussions for said frontal approaches, the fact of the matter is that in arenas of grave import (whether dealing with world issues or highly charged personal ones, often necessitating a smack upside the head to wake from self-induced stupors) dancing around the issue is never an option. This is not to suggest that distinct personal matters should not be handled with a deft and delicate touch. They should be. But such is absolutely, incontestably not the case when confronting the following issue, essentially, the gravest threat to humankind – ever.

Yet, while Israel’s leaders have blared the alarms – at various decibels throughout the last decade – the ‘do or die’ moment in time has arrived, and may have even passed. Of course, Jerusalem surely takes into consideration various strategic/political calculations, regarding emitting high pitched shrills vs low ones. We all understand that too many (unknown to the public) nuances are involved in said calibrations. Well and good.

NEVERTHELESS, even as PM Netanyahu babbles about the so called ‘red line’, few understand what it entails. Thankfully, this site has relevant experts to call upon to parse ‘this and that’. NOT only that, but a foremost expert has confirmed directly to these ears: The ‘red line’ has come and gone! Moreover, ‘to attack, or not’ is front and center at Trentovision, a major source for all issues related to Islamic terror and their worldwide ambitions.

In light of the above, juxtapose the two reports below; one from an American think tank (all of a sudden the ‘thinkers’ are sounding their own alarms!), and the other from PM Netanyahu, as recently as 7/14/2013. You decide – if anything – what may be coming down the pike.

Analysts predict Iran able to produce atom bomb by mid-2014

By JPOST.COM STAFF
07/31/2013
   

Iran expected to achieve “critical capability” in producing weapon-grade uranium without being detected, ISIS think tank reports; recommends IAEA increase inspections, but warns measures may not be sufficient.

Uranium-processing site in Isfahan Photo: Reuters
Iran is expected to achieve a “critical capability” to produce sufficient weapon-grade uranium by mid-2014, without being detected, the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) stated on Tuesday. According to the Washington-based think tank, Iran would achieve this capability by implementing its existing plans toinstall thousands more IR-1 centrifuges at its declared Natanz and Fordow centrifuge sites.

“However,” this ISIS warned in their July report, “there is an inherent limitation and dilemma to increasing the rate of inspections, despite their importance.” If the United States and Israel hesitate to strike out of fear of facing international opposition, the ISIS warned, “Iran could have time to make enough weapon-grade uranium for one or more nuclear weapons.” According to the report, breakout times at critical capability would be “so short” that there would not be enough time to organize an international diplomatic or military response. “IAEA inaction or caution could make an international response all but impossible before Iran has produced enough weapon-grade uranium for one or more nuclear weapons,” the ISIS report stated. Click here for full Jpost coverage of the Iranian threat In its recommendations, the ISIS suggested increasing the frequency of inspections and pushing for remote monitoring of the nuclear sites as conditions for progress in negotiations. “The point is that by themselves these measures are not sufficient if Iran reaches critical capability,” the report cautioned. According to the ISIS, there are reasons to conclude the Iran could now be building a new centrifuge plant, “based primarily on Iranian officials’ past statements.” A new plant could produce sufficient weapon-grade uranium relatively quickly if the centrifuges worked well, the ISIS reported. “The immediate priority must be limiting the number and type of Iran’s centrifuges at Natanz, Fordow, or a site not yet finished,” the ISIS stated, calling on the P5+1 negotiators to achieve the suggested conditions and prevent the progression of the Iranian nuclear program.

Bear this in mind: Herb Keinon is a media mouthpiece with all the relevant political access. Extrapolate therein.

Netanyahu: Iran ‘weeks away’ from crossing red line

07/14/2013

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu launched a rhetorical offensive against Iran on Sunday. The move came amid unease that the world might be enticed by a “compromise proposal” that Jerusalem believes Tehran is hatching, and concern that regional turmoil was distracting everyone’s attention from Iran’s nuclear march. Senior Israeli officials said the Iranians were considering a proposal whereby they would agree to a temporary halt of uranium enrichment to 20 percent, and even agree to convert some of that enriched material to a lower grade, in return for a partial lifting of sanctions.

“The Iranians have invested a lot in upgrading centrifuges and have the technological ability to replenish their stockpiles within a few weeks. We will totally oppose this sort of proposal because it does not offer a real solution.” Netanyahu, meanwhile, told an American audience on CBS News’s Face the Nation that regarding the 20% enriched uranium, the Islamic Republic was just 60 kilograms short of crossing his “red line.” He defined this line – beyond which the Iranians should not be allowed to proceed – as being the possession of 250 kg. of 20% enriched uranium, enough fissile material for a nuclear bomb. He said they now had 190 kg., up from about 110 six to eight months ago. Netanyahu said the Iranians were also building “faster centrifuges that would enable them to jump the line at a much faster rate. That is, within a few weeks.” “They’re getting closer,” he said. “They should understand that they’re not going to be allowed to cross it.” Asked when he would make a decision to attack, Netanyahu responded: “I can tell you I won’t wait until it’s too late.” He added that it was “important to understand that we cannot allow it to happen,” and that the Israeli and US clocks on this matter were “ticking at a different pace.” “We’re closer [to Iran] than the United States,” he said. “We’re more vulnerable. And therefore, we’ll have to address this question of how to stop Iran, perhaps before the United States does. But as the prime minister of Israel, I’m determined to do whatever is necessary to defend my country, the one and only Jewish state, from a regime that threatens us with renewed annihilation.”

Netanyahu’s tough rhetoric is widely seen as an attempt to reinsert a sense of urgency regarding Iran, urgency that some in Jerusalem feel has been lost due to the election last month of Hassan Rouhani as Iran’s new president, and also because of the tumultuous events roiling the region. Representatives of the six world powers known as the P5+1 that are negotiating with Iran – the US, Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany – are scheduled to meet Tuesday in Brussels to discuss strategy now that Rouhani is about to take over. “I have a sense there’s no sense of urgency,” Netanyahu said. “All the problems that we have [in the region], however important, will be dwarfed by this messianic, apocalyptic, extreme regime that would have atomic bombs. It would make a terrible, catastrophic change for the world and for the United States.” Regarding Rouhani, Netanyahu said the Iranian president-elect had criticized his predecessor, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, “for being a wolf in wolf’s clothing. His strategy is, be a wolf in sheep’s clothing. Smile and build a bomb.”

Iran also figured prominently in comments Netanyahu made earlier in the day at the weekly cabinet meeting, saying that a month after Iran’s elections the Islamic Republic continued to “quickly sail forward” toward nuclear capability.

According to Netanyahu, Iran was expanding and improving its uranium enrichment capabilities, and in parallel was developing a plutonium reactor so it would have two tracks to create material for a nuclear weapon. At the same time, he said, Tehran was expanding its ballistic missile capabilities. “We believe that now, more than ever, it is important to stiffen the economic sanctions and present Iran with a credible military option,” he said. “We are determined to stand firm by our demands [on Iran], which must become the demands of the international community,” he went on. “First, to cease all enrichment. Second, to remove from the country all the enriched uranium. And third, to close the illegal nuclear facility at Qom.” Israel’s demands are harsher than those of the international community, which – through the P5+1 – has indicated that Iran must cease enriching uranium to 20% but could keep for civilian purposes some of its stockpiles of uranium that had been enriched to a lesser degree.

On other issues in his Face the Nation appearance, Netanyahu walked carefully around a direct question posed to him about whether he thought the US should cut off military aid to the new interim government in Egypt. “Look, that’s an internal American decision,” he said. But then he added a caveat: “Our concern is the peace treaty with Egypt. One of the foundations of that peace treaty was the US aid given to Egypt.” He said that Israel and Egypt had maintained formal contacts during the past two years since Hosni Mubarak was deposed, “including now.”

Netanyahu also gave an answer that could be interpreted different ways when he was asked about US reports that Israel, as alleged by anonymous US officials, had been behind the attack last week on Latakia in Syria. The strike targeted Russian-made Yakhont antiship missiles that Israel has in the past warned could fall into Hezbollah’s hands. “Oh God, every time something happens in the Middle East Israel is accused,” Netanyahu said. “I’m not in the habit of saying what we did or we didn’t do. I’ll tell you what my policy is. My policy is to prevent the transfer of dangerous weapons to Hezbollah and other terror groups. And we stand by that policy.”

Most intrinsically, ‘crying wolf’ can only go on for so long. But what is incontestably true is the actual fact that PM Netanyahu’s hitching Jerusalem’s ‘do or die’ action (or lack thereof) to Obama Inc. will end up costing many more Jewish lives. There is no getting around this truth. More than a wet noodle….

And, if anyone thinks that this blog site is emitting hysterical rantings, just listen to the genocidal exhortations from both the past Islamic Hitler & now its present one; a leader which the Islamist-in-Chief is considering a ‘moderating’ force!

UPDATE: As posited, Obama Inc. sent Dempsey to Israel to give Iran’s newest Hitler a ‘chance’ – 

“US military chief likely to gauge Israeli intentions regarding Iran’s nuclear program, and possibly push Jerusalem to refrain from dramatic decisions in near future, in order to give diplomacy with Rouhani a chance.” As such, color this blogger a soothsayer…

Al Qaeda Bearing Down On Three Israeli Fronts: PM Netanyahu Dropped The Ball, Barack HUSSEIN Obama-Once Again-AWOL…Commentary By Adina Kutnicki

This site has continually lambasted Jerusalem’s dependence on Washington for its ‘red light/green light’ security imperatives. As a result, four months ago, a featured commentary warned of the bellying up of Al Qaeda to Israel’s borders. Nevertheless, despite any babblings to the contrary, PM Netanyahu has indeed been hewing to the Islamist-in-Chief’s ‘hands off’ policy, particularly in relation to any ‘root canal’ operations threatening its borders.    

So, is it any surprise that DEBKAfile’s intelligence analysts are also blasting PM Netanyahu, for his absolute failure to deal with the Al Qaeda menace encircling Israel’s throat, even though it was evidenced many months ago? Not to mention the fire alarm emanating from PM Netanyahu, just 10 days ago: Netanyahu: Iran ‘weeks away’ from crossing red line! What kind of leader cuts it so close to the trip wire? Rhetorical question.
DEBKAfile Special Report July 24, 2013, 8:45 AM (IDT)
That the Netanyahu government took a wrong turn in its policy of non-intervention in the Syrian conflict was manifested by the warning coming from the IDF’s military intelligence (AMAN) chief Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi Tuesday night, July 23, when he said that Syria had become a global battleground for al Qaeda.

Addressing a passing-out ceremony at the IDF’s Officers’ School, Kochavi warned that the thousands of al Qaeda pouring into Syria from around the world are fighting to create an Islamic state there, just as they are in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Yemen. This peril, he said, is closing in on Israel, Lebanon, Jordan and Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula.
At the UN Security Council in New York, his words were echoed by Robert Serry, UN Coordinator of the Middle East peace process, who said Syria “is increasingly turning into a big global battleground.”
It is important to note that Gen. Kochavi issued his warning shortly after returning home from meetings in
Washington with senior US military and intelligence officers.  He flew to the US on July 17, on the day that hostilities flared between the Israeli and Syrian armies in the southern Golan on a scale which was never released to the public.
That clash marked the bankruptcy of the government and army command’s efforts to stop the tide of violence from reaching Israel’s northern borders by means of a tactic of virtual non-involvement, aside from limited aid to certain Syrian rebel groups, medical care for some of their wounded and certain unreported small-scale operations.

Threats from five separate sources now threaten to swamp those efforts entirely. They are posed by the Syrian army; Hizballah; global jiahdists; armed Syrian rebel militias funded by Saudi Arabia; and Al Qaeda groups bolstered for the first time by the arrival in recent weeks Pakistani Taliban groups of fighters.
Islamist forces are thrusting forward strongly in eastern, northern and western Syria. They murder any non-Islamist rebel chiefs, especial Free Syrian Army commanders, standing in their way and are moving on towards Lebanon and Jordan as well.
What strikes most concern in Jerusalem, are the first signs of a tie-in between al Qaeda in Syria and al Qaeda in Sinai. The intelligence chief’ went to Washington with a report that coordinated terrorist operations against Israel were shaping up for the first time from Syria, Sinai and possibly Lebanon too.

It was suddenly borne in on Israel that its two strikes against Syria’s chemical weapons and the transfer of advanced hardware to Hizballah were wide of the mark. The greatest danger has turned out to be Al Qaeda’s spreading potency. Anyway, chemical warfare has since spread across the Syrian battlefield and Hizballah forces fighting in Syria simply take direct delivery of advanced weapons from the Syrian army, without even trying to transfer them to Lebanon.

The IDF has failed to come to grips with Al Qaeda on the Syrian front no less than the Egyptian army, for different reasons, has succeeded in curbing the jihadist marauders in Sinai.
As the mainstream Syrian rebel movement crumbles, al Qaeda is bolstered by an influx of fighters, weapons and funds from across the Muslim world, including the Persian Gulf. Over the past year, the IDF has had to reconfigure its deployment against Syria – first to contend with the potential of chemical weapons, then Iranian military involvement, followed by Hizballah’s advance towards the Israeli border and now al Qaeda’s inroads.
Gen. Kochavi was not led to expect a sympathetic hearing in Washington for Israel’s concerns.
The Obama administration is up to its neck in its efforts to speed the US military drawdown in Afghanistan and break off contact with the Taliban, whose Pakistani branch has meanwhile turned up in Syria.

The Israeli intelligence chief found Gen. Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the US Chiefs of Staff, fully engaged in phrasing an open letter to senators to rebuff their criticism of President Barack Obama’s decision to stay out of the Syrian conflict:
In his letter, he outlined the five options for involvement with price tags:
1. Training, advising and assisting the opposition;
2. Conducting limited strikes;
3. Establishing a no-fly zone;
4. Creating buffer zones inside Syria;
5. Controlling Damascus’s chemical arms.

Gen Dempsey estimated that the first option would cost about $500m a year, while each of the other four actions would require roughly $1bn a month, i.e., $12bn a year.
The US army chief did not elaborate on the long-term cost to the US treasury of non-involvement in operations to keep al Qaeda at bay as it fights to get a stranglehold on Syria, like in Yemen and North African Sahara.
Israel’s Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon and its chief of staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz are struggling with imperatives to cut down on military outlay at the very moment when they need extra funding too keep the Al Qaeda menace away from Israel’s door. Gen. Dempsey has helped them by calculating costs. But that’s as far as it goes. For the fight, Israel is on its own.

IF Jerusalem does not see the Obama regime as a clear and present danger to its interests, then surely they are unfit to lead. In fact, during his first term all the warning signs were neon red, thus, months before the 2012 election, the following clarion call emitted from these pagesAnd not unlike a metastasizing cancer, the past five years (more precisely, since the hellish Oslo Peace/Death Accords…yet the ‘peace’ train is still chugging forward!) have demonstrated a complete breakdown in Israel’s strategic calculus, one in which walking and chewing gum have been a non-starter, even though doing so would have reaped many rewards. But THAT would take statesmen at the helm.

In plain English, in concert with choking off Al Qaeda’s (and assorted jihadi groups under its command…six of one…half a dozen of another) strangehold, Israel’s thrust against Iran’s genocidal program could have been executed in parallel. So, not only are Hezbollah, Al Qaeda, etc freely operating in Syria, as are all of Iran’s proxy arms, but the heretofore ‘red line’ has essentially come and gone.  

Most intrinsically, whatever future actions Jerusalem takes, in relation to the above circle of death, its fallout will be at an exponentially higher cost to Israel’s (held captive to appeasement-oriented leaders) citizens. And herein lies its (strategic) essence.