But before we get to the Islamist-in-Chief’s treachery, it is only fair to take PM Netanyahu to task, even as it appears he has been operating as a lone voice in the wilderness against Iran’s genocidal regime. Don’t dare feel sorry for him or coin him a hero! Here’s why:
Throughout PM Netanyahu’s 2 terms, it became painfully obvious that he hitched Jerusalem’s decision making to suit Obama Inc.’s dictates, so much so that the following proved itself : IRAN HEADS DOWN TO THE TRIP WIRE: Month(s) Away From Bomb-Making Ability. DECISION TIME For PM Netanyahu. Obama Already Made His. So here we find ourselves, exactly in the deadly place outlined above.
NOT only that, but it was revealed herein how PM Netanyahu’s spinelessness paved the way for the genocidal mullahs – PM Netanyahu’s SPINELESS Leadership Assists Iran’s WMD (More Than Likely) Victory.
Going from there to here is not rocket science and Jerusalem’s leadership knows as much. As such, IRAN, FOR ALL INTENTS & PURPOSES, IS A NUCLEAR POWER: Obama’s LONGSTANDING Quest To Arm Iran. The Jig Is Up! What’s Obama’s End Goal? is another “prediction”.
Thereby, those of us who keep track of such global shaking matters, surely understand that the “deal” has been in the bag, long before any public announcement was made by Obama Inc. How so? Well, Obama’s hatchet woman, his alter ego, Iranian born Valerie Jarrett has been scuttling back and forth inking a deal irrespective of this and that Geneva charade. For those who doubt Jarrett’s out-sized powers, this should pierce the veil – Valerie Jarrett & Her Mischief Making: Capable of Upending Western Civilization…The Unofficial Buck Starts/Stops At Her Door. As a matter of record, her dangerous liaisons were noted over a year ago at this site.
Indeed, Barack HUSSEIN Obama Acts As A Shield For Islamic Regimes: Iranian Freedom Fighters Exposed His Hand.
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NEVERTHELESS, despite the expected brouhaha that a breakthrough has brought Iran to heel, well, nothing could be further from the truth, regardless of Obama’s spin machine, operating at warp speed at The Washington Post & elsewhere – Iran, world powers reach historic nuclear deal. Besides, history is replete with such “moments”, and most infamously, the Munich Agreement comes to mind – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfCeff19Syc#t=131
After all-night talks, a first-step nuclear deal was struck before dawn Sunday in Geneva between Iran and the six powers. It was announced by President Barack Obama and confirmed by Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif. Obama said key aspects of Iran’s nuclear program will be rolled back for limited sanctions relief. No new centrifuges will added to the enrichment process, work will stop at the Arak nuclear reactor and the UN will expand inspections to ensure that Iran unable to make a nuclear bomb. The overall sanctions architecture will remain in place pending a comprehensive solution to be negotiated in the next s six months, but no new sanctions will be imposed.
Israel and Saudi Arabia said before the deal was signed that they would not be bound by its provisions and reserved their military options.
The US president said he understood the concerns of Israel and the Persian Gulf nations about Iran’s intentions, and promised to closely follow Iran’s compliance and as that he as commander-in-chief of US armed forces maintain the option for military action.
Offering no information about the content of the interim accord, the Iranian foreign minister commended the Geneva process for granting the Iranian people “equal footing and mutual respect” and the deal as a first step towards removing all doubts about Iran’s nuclear program.
UK Foreign Secretary William Hague added that Iran had agreed to halt uranium enrichment above the 5 percent grade and the elimination of its stockpile of 20 percent enriched material.
As the Secretary spoke, the Saudi ambassador to London pledged every effort by his government to halt Iran’s advance toward a nuclear bomb, accusing the United States of failing to do this.
DEBKAfile’s military sources add: None of the measures revealed so far about the interim accord reached in Geneva deal with the concealed military features of Iran’s nuclear program, or the details of expanded inspections. Israel is not expected to accept any document with those omissions and will no doubt continue its preparations for exercising a military option.
See DEBKAfile’s Saturday report on the fourth day of negotiatons prior to the deal.
Both sides were pumping up an atmosphere of optimism as the foreign ministers of all six powers facing Iran made tracks for Geneva Saturday morning, Nov. 23, Day Four of the marathon negotiations for an accord on a six-month freeze on Iran’s nuclear program.
Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Hassan Araghchi said the six powers had agreed to respect his country’s right to enrich uranium, so removing a major hurdle in the path of an accord, whereas Foreign Minister Javad Zarif remained silent.
Sergey Lavrov was the first foreign minister to arrive Friday night, followed by Secretary of State John Kerry early Saturday. Both were said to have come to try and narrow the gaps holding up an accord. The Chinese, British, French and German foreign ministers were due in Geneva Saturday morning, after bilateral sessions between Zarif and the other six delegates failed to produce enough progress for them to adjourn to formal negotiations around the same table, least of all reach the signing stage.
This time round, the Iranian team borrowed the Western tactic of constantly maintaining that a deal is within reach. This tactic aims at weakening the resistance of the opposite side by presenting it as dragging out the nerve-wracking talkathon beyond reason. This tactic didn’t work for the Western delegations in the first round of nuclear talks on Nov. 11, which France blew up on the fourth day. The second round had reached the same touch-and-go point by Saturday morning, when none of the six delegations confirmed they had agreed to a clause respecting Iran’s right to enrich uranium as Araghchi had claimed.
This point is pivotal to both sides because it is absent from the Non-Proliferation Treaty, which merely specifies that countries are allowed “to pursue peaceful nuclear energy.”
Rewording this provision to cover the right to uranium enrichment would cut the ground from under the entire treaty by throwing the door open for all its signatories to enrich uranium at will.
Tehran’s goal in making this demand is more than legitimacy for its own weapons program. It is also seeks to deprive the big powers of the prerogative to determine the rights of smaller nations.
On this point, therefore, both Iran and the six powers are digging in their heels.
The other major hurdle facing a deal is the Arak heavy water reactor Iran is building. Tehran refuses to halt construction of this reactor arguing that like any other nation, Iran is entitled to build nuclear reactors for peaceful purposes. They shoot back at any suggestion that the Arak reactor is designed to produce plutonium as fuel for nuclear weapon, along with enriched uranium, with a charge of discrimination, and declare, “Tehran is not going to sign an agreement that permanently put Iran in an outcast category,”
The Iranians have adopted a negotiating strategy of relegating the vital technical aspects of the draft accord to a lower priority while hammering away at issues pertinent to national respect. Iran is fighting in Geneva for international respect as a legitimate and equal nuclear power on the world stage.
This strategy also has a by-product: By the time they get around to the key technical clauses, the negotiators on the other side of the table are too worn down to cope with a new set of Iranian objections.
The biggest obstacle to a deal, however, is to be found in Tehran in the person of the tough, autocratic Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He will have the final word on whether the second round to talks in Geneva produce an accord – not the American or Russian presidents, and certainly not the foreign ministers assembling there.
Khamenei has boosted his heft by making himself unapproachable – even to Iran’s president Hassan Rouhani. So no one can influence him or even find out where he stands until the text is ready for signing. Even then, Zarif and Araghchi may be told at the last moment to withhold their signatures over some point and return home for further consultations. The six powers will then have to decide whether it is worth taking the negotiations to a third round, as the Congress in Washington fights back by enacting tighter sanctions against Iran.
UNDOUBTEDLY, PM Netanyahu understands that his administration misdirected half of world Jewry, who believed that under his stewardship Iran would NEVER become a nuclear power. If this blogger had a nickel, a shekel, for every time he said as much, well….even as this is written: Netanyahu: Deal lets Iran gain a nuclear bomb, Israel not bound
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu slammed the interim nuclear deal signed in Geneva early Sunday as “a historic mistake that makes the world a more dangerous place.” Israel is not obligated by this agreement,” he told the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem. Iran is committed to Israel’s destruction, he said and “I want to make clear as the prime minister of Israel, Israel will not allow Iran to develop a military nuclear capability.” For the deal, Iran made “cosmetic concessions that it can do away with in a matter of weeks,” the prime minister said.
IN any case, we are where we are. He surely intuits – smartie that PM Netanyahu is – without eliciting a strike his political career will not only be over, but he will go down in history as the Jewish leader who fell short of stopping Iran from acquiring the ultimate weapons; weapons which will allow them to keep their sworn promise to wipe Israel off the map!
Mind you, Obama Inc. (and attendant world powers) didn’t pause a beat, even as Iran’s Supreme leader exhorted right before the “deal” was inked: Iranian Leader: Israel a ‘Rabid Dog’.
It is due to the above, and so much more, that a “bolt out of the blue” will likely take place. Pray it’s not too little, too late and that the following strategic assessment comes to fruition:
A Strike on Iran: Complex, But Possible
BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 223
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: An Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure is a risky and militarily-complicated endeavor, but within reach. Israeli ingenuity and determination could lead to a great operational and political success. The international responses are likely to be bearable.
Recent statements by Israel that it has the ability to strike and significantly damage Iran’s nuclear infrastructure reflect Israel’s growing exasperation with the weak reaction of the international community to the Iranian “charm offensive,” and a gradual realization that only military force can prevent the nuclearization of Iran.
Such an attack would require the capability to reach and destroy distant targets, while overcoming aerial defense systems. Yet the number of facilities that would need to be hit to deal a significant blow to Iran’s nuclear infrastructure is generally overestimated.
The essential ingredient for building a nuclear bomb is uranium enriched to at least 90 percent, meaning that the enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordow must be taken out. The heavy water reactor at Arak – designed to produce plutonium, another fissionable material suitable for building a nuclear bomb – is not yet active but is a necessary target, similar to the Iraqi reactor that was destroyed by Israel in 1981.
To be sure, an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure would be a risky and complicated military operation. But Israeli ingenuity and determination could lead to a great operational and political success.
Israel’s Military Capabilities
Israel’s long arm is its air force, which has the ability to strike distant targets. According to foreign reports, the Israel Air Force (IAF) has more than 400 fighter planes, more than most countries in the world. The IAF fleet includes the F-15I, one of the world’s most advanced planes, which can carry many precision-guided weapons over long distances.
The IAF also reportedly has a number of aerial refueling tankers that give its fighter jets the option to extend their flight range as far as Iran. The IAF has held a number of exercises, which received much media coverage, in which dozens of aircraft flew long distances, displaying the IAF’s ability to reach Iran.
The flight path to nuclear targets in Iran would cross over Arab countries, as in past long-distance IAF operations. But this time it is possible that these states would turn a blind eye or even cooperate with Israel, because the Sunni Arab world is very concerned about Iran attaining nuclear weapons.
Moreover, the IAF has a remarkable set of technological means that enable it to blind or paralyze air defense systems. Reported IAF operations in Syria and Sudan, which came to light only after the alleged strikes took place, may be an indication of such capabilities. Iran might have good air defense systems that could exact a price from the IAF, but it is unlikely that they could prevent the air force from conducting a successful attack.
An important issue is the ability to destroy underground targets. The US has provided Israel with bunker-buster bombs, and it is likely that the Israeli military industries are also capable of developing and producing similar weapons. An Israeli operation in Iran might also require a ground presence, mainly to ensure that targets hit from the air are indeed destroyed. The IDF special forces have trained for this task. Unfortunately, it would be difficult at this point to achieve a strategic surprise, and it is a shame that a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities was not executed several years ago. But despite Iran’s awareness of the possibility of an Israeli strike, there is still room for tactical surprises.
International Consequences
Iran’s ability to punish Israel is quite limited. Its missile arsenal can partially or perhaps largely be intercepted by Israel’s anti-ballistic missile system, featuring the Arrow 2 missile. Iran’s terrorist activities against Israeli targets abroad in recent years have not been very impressive. Iran’s allies on Israel’s borders, Hizballah and Hamas, have many thousands of missiles that can do much damage. But their full subservience to Iran remains to be seen. Even if they act as Iranian proxies, Israel has the military capability to invade the missile launching areas and limit the price they can exact from Israel’s home front. Finally, preventing a nuclear Iran is an important objective that justifies Israeli losses.
The expectations for serious international negative reactions to an Israeli military strike on Iran are also greatly exaggerated. Israel has attacked nuclear installations in the past, specifically in Iraq (1981) and Syria (2007), with few international repercussions. Many hypocritical denouncements are likely, accompanied by a private feeling of relief. Many countries, particularly in the region, are actually waiting for Israel to pull the nuclear chestnuts from the fire.
Conclusion
At a time when appeasing Iran seems to be in vogue, an Israeli strike could invigorate elements in the international arena who are unwilling to accept an Iran with a nuclear breakout capability. In addition, many people around the world would be reminded that muscular reactions to evil regimes are often truly necessary.
A decision by Israel to strike Iran would be a historic gamble. Nevertheless, history, necessity, and common sense point toward an attack.
For the historical record, Bolton’s analysis is spot on – Bolton: Obama Pushed Iran Deal to Prevent Israeli Airstrike…and this is the assessment from Daniel Pipes-
The Nuclear Deal With Iran is a Foreign Policy Disaster by Daniel Pipes
“For the first time in nearly a decade we have halted parts of Iran’s nuclear program” announced a jubilant Barack Obama after the news of the just-signed Geneva six-month interim agreement with Iran.
But the American goal for the accord was that the Iranians not “advance their program” of building a uranium nuclear bomb (and perhaps a plutonium bomb too); the apparent deal exactly permits such advancement, plus sanctions relief to Tehran worth about US$9 billion.
This wretched deal offers one occasion when comparison with Neville Chamberlain in Munich in 1938 is valid. An overeager Western government, blind to the evil cunning of the regime it so much wants to work with, appeases it with concessions that will come back to haunt it. Geneva and Nov. 24 will be remembered along with Munich and Sep. 29.
Barack Obama has made many foreign policy errors in the past five years, but this is the first to rank as a disaster.
That’s all folks!!
Adina Kutnicki 
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i pray for Israel’s survival.
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