RATIONAL folks can agree to disagree on the merits of this and that “peace” treaty. Besides, uniformity in thought would herd citizens into robot-like “thinking”, only to be held captive to the whims of PC police. Agreed? However, one cannot argue with certain geo-strategic facts, whether one hails from the left or right. Yes, some “laws of war”, their results, are intractable. Like it or not.
IN this regard, strategic depth always involves land mass – or the lack thereof -among other battle lines. That’s a geo-political and military fact. Therefore, in the history of warfare, has the victor ever given up the spoils…aka the fruits…of war, and, no less, for a piece of worthless paper? Bull’s eye.
SPECIFICALLY, bar none, Israel’s victory in the “Six-Day War” was the most judicious and righteous pre-emptive battle fought in modern warfare. But for those who are unfamiliar with its nation-saving outcome, please refer to its specifics:
|Part of the Arab–Israeli conflict|
The Six-Day War (Hebrew: מלחמת ששת הימים, Milhemet Sheshet Ha Yamim; Arabic: النكسة, an-Naksah, “The Setback” or حرب ۱۹٦۷, Ḥarb 1967, “War of 1967”), also known as the June War,1967 Arab–Israeli War, or Third Arab–Israeli War, was fought between June 5 and 10, 1967 by Israel and the neighboring states of Egypt (known at the time as the United Arab Republic), Jordan, and Syria.
Relations between Israel and its neighbors had never fully normalized following the 1948 Arab-Israeli War, and in the period leading up to June 1967 tensions became dangerously heightened. As a result, Israel launched a series of preemptive airstrikes against Egyptian airfields on June 5 following the mobilisation of Egyptian forces along the Israeli border in the Sinai Peninsula. The Egyptians, whose defensive infrastructure was in a poor state, were caught by surprise and virtually the entire Egyptian air force was destroyed with few Israeli losses, giving the Israelis air superiority. Simultaneously, the Israelis launched a ground offensive into the Gaza strip and through the northern and central routes of the Sinai, which again caught the Egyptians by surprise. After some initial resistance, the Egyptian leader,Gamal Abdel Nasser, ordered the evacuation of the Sinai. On June 6 and 7, Israeli forces rushed westward in pursuit of the Egyptians whose retreat was disorganized and chaotic. The Israelis inflicted heavy losses on the retreating Egyptian forces. By June 7 the Israelis had reached the Suez canal and had taken Sharm el Sheikh in the south of the peninsula. Conquest of the Sinai was completed on June 8 when Israeli forces reached the peninsula’s western coast.
On June 5, Nasser had induced Syria and Jordan to begin attacks on Israel by using the initially confused situation to claim that Egypt had defeated the Israeli air strike. In the afternoon of June 5, Israel retaliated against Jordan by launching an offensive to encircle East Jerusalem. Initially, Israeli forces held back from moving into the Old City for a number of reasons including potentially negative international reaction. However on June 7 the Israeli Minister of Defense, Moshe Dayan, gave the order to attack. After heavy fighting, the Israelis completed the conquest of the city later that day. Also on June 7, Israeli forces seized the West Bank cities of Nablus and Bethlehem from the Jordanians. When King Hussein ordered the Jordanian forces to retreat across the River Jordan, the Israeli forces occupied the rest of the West Bank unopposed. Israel’s retaliation against Syria on June 5 took the form of an air strike in the evening which destroyed two-thirds of the Syrian air force, giving the Israelis air superiority over the Syrians. On June 9, Dayan ordered a ground invasion of the Golan Heights. Despite an extensive fortifications system and heavy fighting, the Israelis broke through the Syrian first line of defense. By June 10, Israeli forces had taken the Golan plateau and the Syrians had retreated eastward behind the ceasefire “purple line“.
On June 11, a ceasefire was signed. Arab casualties were far heavier than that of Israel: less than a thousand Israelis had been killed compared to over 20,000 from the Arab forces. Israel’s military success was attributable to the element of surprise, an innovative and well executed battle plan and the poor quality and poor leadership of the Arab forces. Israel was left in control of the Gaza Strip and the Sinai Peninsula (taken from Egypt), the West Bank and East Jerusalem (taken from Jordan) and the Golan Heights (taken from Syria). The area of Israeli control had increased by a factor of three, significantly contributing to the country’s defensibility, as would be shown in the subsequent Yom Kippur War. Although Israeli morale and international prestige was greatly increased by the outcome of the war, the resulting displacement of civilian populations would have long-term consequences. 300,000Palestinians fled the West Bank and about 100,000 Syrians left the Golan to become refugees. Across the Arab world Jewish minority communities were expelled. Israel made peace with Egypt following the Camp David Accords of 1978 and completed a staged withdrawal from the Sinai in 1982. However, the position of the other occupied territories became a long-standing and bitter cause of conflict between Israel and the Palestinians, and the Arab world in general.
NOW, any logical and non-indoctrinated individual would learn a few nation-saving lessons from the above pre-emption. Firstly, had Egypt not been bent on Israel’s destruction, the capture of Sinai would have been moot. Moreover, if surrounding Arab nations hadn’t joined in the gang bang, they too would not have lost their conquered territory; land which historically belonged to the Jewish nation before the rebirth of modern Israel. Nevertheless, let’s not digress by bringing up some uncomfortable truths. Historical facts.
CONSEQUENTLY, as a result of the IDF’s lightening speed (and miraculous) 1967 victory, the captured Sinai afforded Israel a guaranteed land mass to buffer its southern flank. So, aside from Israel’s leaders – whose “strategies” generally reflect “policies” of appeasement, believing they can, in effect, buy off their enemies with “gestures” – no rational leadership would ever, under any given circumstances, return conquered land which served as a defensive shield.
BUT never mind. All it took was the ubiquitous waving of “peace” (some NEVER learn their lessons) and the rest is history. Sinai was forfeited, if only for a few decades of illusory “peace”.
IN point of fact, even after Israel was forced to pre-empt an unprecedented formation of Egyptian tanks in 1967, thankfully, coming out the indisputable victor – and atop another Egyptian and Syrian aggressive assault during the Yom Kippur War in October 1973 – one would hope that trusting Arab “peace” overtures for the long-term (strategic thinkers don’t plan short-term !) would be considered less than rational thinking, nor strategically feasible. Right?
FURTHERMORE, despite the much ballyhooed “cold peace” (resulting from the signing of the Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty in March 1979, up until Mubarak was deposed and the Brotherhood’s Morsi took over…subsequently, Abdel Fatah el-Sisi grabbed the reins), the fact of the matter is that the Mid East is the most unstable region in the world. Tenderhooks. Forever shifting sands. Yes, little stands between Israel and her Arab neighbors, other than amassing dangers on all fronts. Not only that, but 35 years is not even a blip on the historical radar – here today, gone tomorrow – and the encirclement of Israel has never been graver, notwithstanding the dangers amassing northward from Hezbollah, ISIS and offshoots!
Enter: ISIS at Israel’s southern flank…gaining at warped speed.
A group of at least ten ISIS operations and intelligence officers, led by a senior commander, has arrived in Sinai and taken charge of the local Ansar Beit al-Maqdas jihadis, thereby opening up a dangerous new front against Egypt and Israel, in proximity to the Suez Canal, the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, DEBKAfile’s exclusive counter-terror sources report.
Their identities are not known, but their relocation from Iraq to the Egyptian peninsula was carefully arranged. They came posing as tourists coming for a holiday at the Sinai resort of Sharm el-Sheikh, arriving on charter flights from Middle East and European locations on fake passports. This enabled them to evade the strict security checks at Cairo international airport.
By assuming command of the local Ansar Beit al-Maqdas terrorist group, which last month pledged allegiance to the Islamic State, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi has moved to add Sinai as a new province to the caliphate he established in parts of Iraq and Syria.
In recent weeks, our counter-terror sources reveal, Islamic State tacticians have provided the Sinai outfit in with a strategic reserve by posting 300 combatants from Iraq to eastern Libya. This group also supplies the Egyptian contingent with arms.
Egypt therefore finds itself encircled by IS forces on its western border from Libya and deeply threatened from the northeast in Sinai; whereas Israel faces the same jihadi menace in the southwest from Sinai and in the north from Syria.
On arrival in Sinai, Islamic State commanders announced their movement’s mission had been overhauled and redirected from Egypt alone to the “Egyptian-Zionist alliance.”
One of their first tasks will be to counteract recent Egyptian military successes in broadening their penetration of the peninsula’s Bedouin tribes and so inflicting heavy losses on Ansar Beit al Maqdas.
Israel finds itself outflanked by the new IS deployment in Sinai. The IDF heavily built up its northern strength to meet any Al Qaeda menace from Syria to the Golan, creating the Bashan Division to fight off jihadist incursions. In the event, the IS’s Syrian units have given the Israeli border a wide berth and are focusing on fighting in northern and eastern Syria.
And so, while preparing to tackle Islamist encroachment from the north, Israel finds them cropping up along its southern border, where no comparable military buildup is in place.
Abu Bakr’s Sinai move contradicts the claims of senior US commanders that IS is on the run in Iraq after being badly hurt by US and coalition air strikes. (Last week there were no more than 31 air raids over Iraq and 15 in Syria.) All that the light US-led air campaign has achieved so far is to induce the Islamic State’s leaders to shift ground tactically from territorial expansion to defense and entrenchment.
AS an aside, and in addition to everything you thought you knew about the savagery of ISIS, they are as cruel to the captives they let live, as those they slaughter. Americans/ westerners, this is a warning to you too.
RESULTANT, regardless of all the Jewish blood spilled on behalf of Israel’s (the buck stops with them…their onus) “never say no to peace” fetishist leaders, one tragic fact remains constant: Israel’s current crop of misfit leaders haven’t learned their lessons, irrespective of who wins the March 2015 elections. The proofs are manifest. Yet, as bleak as Israel’s electoral prospects seem, there ARE alternatives, and a Jewish patriot, an authentic warrior-princess, can be heard speaking at this linked Diplomatic Conference. Hear her roar!
TO wit, with ISIS lying in wait – the knock-on effects of Israel’s aforementioned gifting of Sinai for “peace” – the huge land mass is now overrun with ISIS and offshoots, courtesy of the open sesame given during Mursi’s tenure! Absolutely, a strategic disaster is in the making. You read it here…
IRONICALLY, with Egypt now in the hands of Abdel Fatah el-Sisi and out of the Brotherhood’s grip, ISIS wants to destroy the nation’s central command. As such, Egypt finds itself in the cross hairs too! Imagine that….what a conundrum. Be that as it may, they are hardly in a position to get the job done, and few can argue otherwise. However, even though they ostensibly “control” the lawless expanse of Sinai – due to the “peace” treaty – this is a far cry from the actual facts on the ground.
IN light of Israel’s short-sighted leaders, the nation is operating from a distinct disadvantage, both from a strategic depth point of view, as well as other factors. Ultimately, handing over Sinai to Egypt allowed ISIS to go from strength to strength, and they will pounce when ready. Israel’s leaders are now stuck with all the blow back.
IN a nutshell, once land is lost, gifted, or however you want to parse it, the ensuing battle will cost many more lives. This go around, how many Jewish lives will be sacrificed on the “peace” altar? And with elections looming, the choices are from bad to worse; those who can’t run fast enough to hand over Israel’s remaining strategic ground, Judea and Samaria, the Jewish people’s historical heartland, to those who want a few more “promises” before they make “peace”!
CAN anyone dare imagine the outcome, if ISIS (Hamas et al.) reigns supreme within Judea and Samaria, if Israel’s peace-obsessed leaders get their way? Could it become any more dire?